AU - Port Lincoln - Race 7

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

6.7f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.3K

VIEW

Verdict

LAPILLI (6) improved sharply second-up when sent forward from the wide draw and knuckled down to score here. Drawn much kinder this time and can keep the momentum rolling. ORIEDOS (7) was closing hard on Lapilli last time and gets a nice pull at the weights. Will likely drift back again but expect him to be charging late. DIADOCHOS (1) was dominant last start in similar grade. Goes up a kilo but draws well again and only needs to hold his form to be very competitive. SETTEVELI (2) hasn't saluted for some time but is edging closer, with two strong recent efforts here. Draws to get the gun run for Milnes and deserves his chance. SASSY ANGEL (11) closed sharply behind Diadochos last time and is worth keeping in mind with the weight swing.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Third-up today. Resuming 7th of 11 at Bordertown 0-54 on November 14 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Costless carrying 127lbs at $8. Second-up won by 0.5 len at this track 0-54 December 5 over 6 ¾f defeating Oriedos carrying 122lbs at $5.50. Racing well. Key chance who is sure to run well. 1st Pick 6 Lapilli Jockey: Caitlin Tootell Trainer: Shayne & Chelsea Cahill J: Caitlin Tootell T: Shayne & Chelsea Cahill	127	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 7th of 11 at Bordertown 0-54 on November 14 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Costless carrying 127lbs at $8. Second-up won by 0.5 len at this track 0-54 December 5 over 6 ¾f defeating Oriedos carrying 122lbs at $5.50. Racing well. Key chance who is sure to run well.
7	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 4th of 11 at this track Bm72 on November 21 over 6f, 6 len behind Mckeever carrying 119lbs at $14. Second-up 2nd of 12 at this track 0-54 on December 5 over 6 ¾f, 0.5 len behind Lapilli carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Shapes as a key runner. 2nd Pick 7 Oriedos Jockey: Alana Livesey Trainer: Byron J Cozamanis J: Alana Livesey T: Byron J Cozamanis	126	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 4th of 11 at this track Bm72 on November 21 over 6f, 6 len behind Mckeever carrying 119lbs at $14. Second-up 2nd of 12 at this track 0-54 on December 5 over 6 ¾f, 0.5 len behind Lapilli carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Shapes as a key runner.
1	Form hard to fault. At the latest run ran on from midfield and won by 2 len at this track 0-54 December 5 over 6 ¾f defeating Sassy Angel carrying 126lbs at $12. The run before that 3rd of 8 at Lock Bm54 on November 5 over 6f, 3 len behind Lava Lad carrying 129lbs at $11. Sure to get all the favours from barrier four. 3rd Pick 1 Diadochos Jockey: Jade Doyle Trainer: Michael Mcclean J: Jade Doyle T: Michael Mcclean	116	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run ran on from midfield and won by 2 len at this track 0-54 December 5 over 6 ¾f defeating Sassy Angel carrying 126lbs at $12. The run before that 3rd of 8 at Lock Bm54 on November 5 over 6f, 3 len behind Lava Lad carrying 129lbs at $11. Sure to get all the favours from barrier four.

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