AU - Port Lincoln - Race 8

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.2K

VIEW

Verdict

SKATING ON BY (4) has returned in terrific order, showing grit to prevail here last time after racing on speed. Peaking now and aided by the claim, she can make it two on the bounce. SAMANTH (9) caught the eye fresh and backed it up with a brave chasing effort on speed at Clare. Also peaking now and shapes as a clear danger. STRAWBERRY SWING (11) disappointed last start but had excuses. Was a stylish winner when resuming at Clare and is a strong chance to atone if she rediscovers that form. MEG'S MAGIC (3) will get back from the draw but is worth watching late with her sharp finish. DIDWEWIN (12) will improve second-up, though will need some luck from the draw. Keeping safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Third-up today. First-up 4th of 12 at Morphettville 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 25 over 5 ¼f, 1.75 len behind Damelli carrying 117lbs at $151. Last start favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.7 len at this track 4yo+ Mdn-Sw November 21 over 5f defeating Stars Are Aligning carrying 117lbs at $3.10. Well placed to make it two on the bounce. 1st Pick 4 Skating On By Jockey: Alysha Warren Trainer: John Dunn & Krystal Bishop J: Alysha Warren T: John Dunn & Krystal Bishop	102	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 4th of 12 at Morphettville 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 25 over 5 ¼f, 1.75 len behind Damelli carrying 117lbs at $151. Last start favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.7 len at this track 4yo+ Mdn-Sw November 21 over 5f defeating Stars Are Aligning carrying 117lbs at $3.10. Well placed to make it two on the bounce.
9	Third-up today. First-up 6th of 12 at Balaklava Bm56 on November 12 over 5 ¼f, 3 len behind In Love carrying 126lbs at $31. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 at Clare 0-54 on November 23 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Ruling Goddess with 127lbs at $11. Peaking now is a big threat. 2nd Pick 9 Samanth Jockey: Sairyn Fawke Trainer: Trevor Montgomerie J: Sairyn Fawke T: Trevor Montgomerie	102	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 6th of 12 at Balaklava Bm56 on November 12 over 5 ¼f, 3 len behind In Love carrying 126lbs at $31. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 at Clare 0-54 on November 23 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Ruling Goddess with 127lbs at $11. Peaking now is a big threat.
11	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming favourite, won by 0.9 len at Clare 0-54 October 26 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Emmooki Magic with 118lbs at $9. Second run from a spell tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 11 at this track 4yo+ Bm56 on November 21 over 5f, 5 len behind Spiritual Gal carrying 117lbs at $3.10. Can bounce back and win without surprising. 3rd Pick 11 Strawberry Swing Jockey: Alana Livesey Trainer: Jackie Stoetzer J: Alana Livesey T: Jackie Stoetzer	106	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming favourite, won by 0.9 len at Clare 0-54 October 26 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Emmooki Magic with 118lbs at $9. Second run from a spell tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 11 at this track 4yo+ Bm56 on November 21 over 5f, 5 len behind Spiritual Gal carrying 117lbs at $3.10. Can bounce back and win without surprising.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.