AU - Port Lincoln - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

15.2K

VIEW

Verdict

OFFA'S DYKE (7) improved sharply second-up when closing off into the placings here. Looks to be hitting his straps now and should relish the rise in trip. With Milnes booked, confidence is boosted. POWER PRIMO (10) was sound resuming into fourth here two weeks ago. Better suited stepping out over this journey, though she will likely get back from the draw. Expect her to be charging late. WRATH (4) has mixed his form but his peaks measure up. Gets in well with the 7lbs claimer engaged. Don't dismiss in this thin contest. GIFTERA (9) was sent back to the trials after a wayward barrier jump at Clare. Drawn sticky but worth keeping safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Third-up today. First-up 5th of 9 at Avoca 3yo Mdn-Sw on October 18 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Brave Charm with 128lbs at $12. Second run from a spell 3rd of 9 at this track 3yo Cl1 on November 21 over 5f, 2 len behind Another Bride carrying 129lbs at $5. Capable of a better showing. Big chance to break through. 1st Pick 7 Offa's Dyke Jockey: Rochelle Milnes Trainer: John Dunn & Krystal Bishop J: Rochelle Milnes T: John Dunn & Krystal Bishop	198	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 5th of 9 at Avoca 3yo Mdn-Sw on October 18 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Brave Charm with 128lbs at $12. Second run from a spell 3rd of 9 at this track 3yo Cl1 on November 21 over 5f, 2 len behind Another Bride carrying 129lbs at $5. Capable of a better showing. Big chance to break through.
10	Second run back. First-up after nine months 4th of 12 at this track 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Skating On By with 123lbs at $8.50. Previously second-up 5th of 9 at this track 3yo Bm58 on January 22 over 6f, 4 len behind The Wirrulla Boy with 122lbs at $6.50. Rates highly and expected to finish much closer. 2nd Pick 10 Power Primo Jockey: Taylor Johnstone Trainer: Shylie Williams J: Taylor Johnstone T: Shylie Williams	98	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after nine months 4th of 12 at this track 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Skating On By with 123lbs at $8.50. Previously second-up 5th of 9 at this track 3yo Bm58 on January 22 over 6f, 4 len behind The Wirrulla Boy with 122lbs at $6.50. Rates highly and expected to finish much closer.
4	Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 11 at this track 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 6 ¾f, 5.5 len behind Indiamo carrying 121lbs at $12. The run before that got back early 7th of 11 at Gawler 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 6 over 5 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Tahnee Territory carrying 121lbs at $91. One of the leading chances. 3rd Pick 4 Wrath Jockey: Polly Brewster Trainer: John Dunn & Krystal Bishop J: Polly Brewster T: John Dunn & Krystal Bishop	85	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 11 at this track 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 6 ¾f, 5.5 len behind Indiamo carrying 121lbs at $12. The run before that got back early 7th of 11 at Gawler 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 6 over 5 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Tahnee Territory carrying 121lbs at $91. One of the leading chances.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.