AU - Port Lincoln - Race 2

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

15.2K

VIEW

Verdict

JEWELS CAPTAIN (4) resumes and looks to have come on nicely during the break, sharpening up with strong work in readiness. Was an eye-catcher when fresh last campaign and can return with a bang. RENEGADE CHIEF (5) bounced back here last time with a brave on-pace placing. Peaking now and reunited with Milnes, expect him to roll forward and give another bold sight. ARLO'S DREAM (1) was only fair when resuming here two weeks ago but strips fitter and is capable of playing a role. SOCIAL DANCER (11) hasn't threatened in two runs back off a long break but will be fitter third-up and gets in well at the weights with the 7lbs claimer. Not to be dismissed.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Is first-up after a break of four months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation seventh of 14 at Murray Bridge 4yo+ Mdn-Sw August 2 over 6f, soft track, 2 len behind Stolen Kiss with 128lbs at $21. When resuming last campaign third of 11 at Murray Bridge 3yo Mdn-Sw July 2 over 6f, 2 len behind Be Responsible carrying 127lbs at $4.20. Expected to feature. 1st Pick 4 Jewels Captain Jockey: Teagan Voorham Trainer: Sarah Rutten J: Teagan Voorham T: Sarah Rutten	101	-	-	-	63%
Analysis Is first-up after a break of four months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation seventh of 14 at Murray Bridge 4yo+ Mdn-Sw August 2 over 6f, soft track, 2 len behind Stolen Kiss with 128lbs at $21. When resuming last campaign third of 11 at Murray Bridge 3yo Mdn-Sw July 2 over 6f, 2 len behind Be Responsible carrying 127lbs at $4.20. Expected to feature.
5	Most recently set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 11 at this track 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 6 ¾f, 2.25 len behind Indiamo carrying 128lbs at $6.50. Before that second last of 11 at Gawler 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 6 over 5 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Tahnee Territory with 128lbs at $51. Leading chance. 2nd Pick 5 Renegade Chief Jockey: Rochelle Milnes Trainer: John Dunn & Krystal Bishop J: Rochelle Milnes T: John Dunn & Krystal Bishop	138	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Most recently set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 11 at this track 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 6 ¾f, 2.25 len behind Indiamo carrying 128lbs at $6.50. Before that second last of 11 at Gawler 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 6 over 5 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Tahnee Territory with 128lbs at $51. Leading chance.
1	Second run back. First-up after seven months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 12 at this track 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Skating On By with 128lbs at $10. Previously second-up 5th of 11 at Gawler 3yo+ Cg&E Mdn-Sw on November 27 2024 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Prancethrulife with 125lbs at $81. Rates highly and looks a strong winning hope. 3rd Pick 1 Arlo's Dream Jockey: Sairyn Fawke Trainer: Garret Lynch J: Sairyn Fawke T: Garret Lynch	117	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after seven months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 12 at this track 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Skating On By with 128lbs at $10. Previously second-up 5th of 11 at Gawler 3yo+ Cg&E Mdn-Sw on November 27 2024 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Prancethrulife with 125lbs at $81. Rates highly and looks a strong winning hope.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.