AU - Oakbank - Race 5

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

9.4f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

16.6K

VIEW

Verdict

GREATESTOFEASE (3) was in good touch earlier this prep when stringing two wins together and has since been savaging the line after getting too far back. Drops slightly in grade on the short turnaround and only needs to hold her form to be winning. NAVY GOLD (1) hasn't threatened yet this campaign but finds an easier assignment and should settle closer from the kind draw. Suspect he's hitting his straps now and can improve sharply. AMBITIOUS CREEK (7) was a strong all-the-way winner in town three back. Not as effective in his last two but gets the chance to bounce back from the favourable draw and under the light weight. BLUE ISLES (4) doesn't win often but has peaks that measure up. Don't dismiss completely.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Most recently 7th of 15 at Morphettville 0-58 on December 12 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Tower Of Tuscany with 122lbs at $7.50. The start before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 8 at Balaklava Bm58 on December 3 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Sandpiper with 127lbs at $4.20. Looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 3 Greatestofease Jockey: Tala Hutchinson Trainer: Garret Lynch J: Tala Hutchinson T: Garret Lynch	115	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Most recently 7th of 15 at Morphettville 0-58 on December 12 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Tower Of Tuscany with 122lbs at $7.50. The start before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 8 at Balaklava Bm58 on December 3 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Sandpiper with 127lbs at $4.20. Looks the one to beat.
1	Last start 13th of 15 at Morphettville 0-58 on December 12 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Tower Of Tuscany carrying 131lbs at $8.50. The run before that 8th of 10 at Murray Bridge Bm58 on November 19 over 7f, 7 len behind Full Of Courage carrying 133lbs at $6.50. Has ability and can bounce back. 2nd Pick 1 Navy Gold Jockey: Campbell Rawiller Trainer: Aaron Bain & Ned Taylor J: Campbell Rawiller T: Aaron Bain & Ned Taylor	133	-	-	-	29%	Scratched
Analysis Last start 13th of 15 at Morphettville 0-58 on December 12 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Tower Of Tuscany carrying 131lbs at $8.50. The run before that 8th of 10 at Murray Bridge Bm58 on November 19 over 7f, 7 len behind Full Of Courage carrying 133lbs at $6.50. Has ability and can bounce back.
7	At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 at Balaklava Bm58 on December 3 over 1m, 5 len behind Sandpiper with 121lbs at $21. The run before that 8th of 11 at Balaklava 0-56 on November 12 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Greatestofease carrying 118lbs at $12. Well placed to recapture form. 3rd Pick 7 Ambitious Creek Jockey: Alyssa Webb Trainer: Garret Lynch J: Alyssa Webb T: Garret Lynch	115	-	-	-	17%
Analysis At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 at Balaklava Bm58 on December 3 over 1m, 5 len behind Sandpiper with 121lbs at $21. The run before that 8th of 11 at Balaklava 0-56 on November 12 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Greatestofease carrying 118lbs at $12. Well placed to recapture form.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.