AU - Morphettville Parks - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

6.2f

Unknown

Turf

GOOD 4

35.8K

VIEW

Verdict

ZEBELLA (6) hasn't won for some time but looks ready to strike, having returned in good order and kept fresh with a month between runs. The form around her is strong and she can add to her solid record here. CELSIUS STAR (1) showed sharp early speed at Caulfield before being reeled in late. This is much easier, and with the 7lbs claim offsetting the big weight, he looms as a major threat. DANCING STORM (3) impressed at Strathalbyn last time when lengthening nicely to score. Rock-hard fit now and with Toeroek sticking, he must be taken seriously. ALPINE FLYER (2) resumes for the Doudle yard and debuts blinkers. A four-time winner at the trip, she's jumped out well and gets weight relief with the claim. Can make a bright start for the new stable. ARIZONA ACTIVIST (4) brings solid Victorian form but hasn't yet fired second-up. Was good fresh at Moe, though caution is advised.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 10 at this track Bm80 on September 27 over 6 ¼f, head behind Ndola carrying 117lbs at $5.50. Second run from a spell 6th of 8 at Morphettville Bm82 on November 1 over 5 ½f, 2.75 len behind Mt Niseko carrying 117lbs at $3.30. Freshened with a month between and gets a great chance to score 1st Pick 6 Zebella Jockey: Jacob Opperman Trainer: Phillip Stokes J: Jacob Opperman T: Phillip Stokes	158	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 10 at this track Bm80 on September 27 over 6 ¼f, head behind Ndola carrying 117lbs at $5.50. Second run from a spell 6th of 8 at Morphettville Bm82 on November 1 over 5 ½f, 2.75 len behind Mt Niseko carrying 117lbs at $3.30. Freshened with a month between and gets a great chance to score
1	At the latest run did the work up front then tired 5th of 13 at Caulfield Bm84 on November 15 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Taken with 128lbs at $41. The race before that second last of 16 at Flemington Mcc Final on November 6 over 1m, 7 len behind Guerite carrying 133lbs at $41. Strikes an easier assignment and is expected to very competitive. 2nd Pick 1 Celsius Star Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Shawn Mathrick J: Non Runner T: Shawn Mathrick	161	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis At the latest run did the work up front then tired 5th of 13 at Caulfield Bm84 on November 15 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Taken with 128lbs at $41. The race before that second last of 16 at Flemington Mcc Final on November 6 over 1m, 7 len behind Guerite carrying 133lbs at $41. Strikes an easier assignment and is expected to very competitive.
3	Recent form sound. Last start favourite, won by 1.0 len at Strathalbyn Vignerons November 16 over 6 ¾f on a soft track defeating Headphones carrying 131lbs at $2.60. The race before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 7 at this track Bm86 on November 8 over 6 ¼f, 1.3 len behind Zoupurring with 119lbs at $7. Back in form and another bold showing is expected. 3rd Pick 3 Dancing Storm Jockey: Jake Toeroek Trainer: Richard & Chantelle Jolly J: Jake Toeroek T: Richard & Chantelle Jolly	179	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start favourite, won by 1.0 len at Strathalbyn Vignerons November 16 over 6 ¾f on a soft track defeating Headphones carrying 131lbs at $2.60. The race before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 7 at this track Bm86 on November 8 over 6 ¼f, 1.3 len behind Zoupurring with 119lbs at $7. Back in form and another bold showing is expected.

Upcoming Races

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