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2:37 AM

AU - Morphettville Parks - Race 2

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
32.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TOBIKKO (8) debuts for Phillip Stokes and has shown above-average ability in his jumpout win. With Opperman sticking, he looks ready to make an immediate impact. LOYALTY REIGNS (2) showed sharp speed fresh off a long break before being gunned down late. He'll have tightened up with that run and, kept fresh since, should give a bold sight with Holder aboard. STRANDED (6) resumes for the Hickmott yard and has been prepared with three handy jumpouts. Pannell stays on and a bright return is expected. SO POLITE (10) resumes off a trial placing and gets in light with the claim. She should be prominent on speed and is not to be underestimated. BARDIGRUB (11) showed enough on debut behind a smart winner in July. Though unseen publicly since, he hails from a sharp stable and is worth keeping safe, especially if market support arrives.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Tobikko silk

Debutant by Hellbent out of Rooi Roe. Hails from the smart juvenile stable of Phillip stokes. Impressed in her Morphettville jumpout in readiness when scoring by a big space. Will need a touch of luck from the wide alley but looks above average.

1st Pick
8

Tobikko

Jockey: Jacob Opperman

Trainer: Phillip Stokes

J: Jacob Opperman

T: Phillip Stokes

92---27%11/4

Analysis

Debutant by Hellbent out of Rooi Roe. Hails from the smart juvenile stable of Phillip stokes. Impressed in her Morphettville jumpout in readiness when scoring by a big space. Will need a touch of luck from the wide alley but looks above average.

2
Loyalty Reigns silk

Second-up. Promising on debut 4th of 10 at Moe Mdn-Sw on February 23 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Meh Keffi with 127lbs at $3.20. Returned from break 4th of 10 at Yarra Valley 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 25 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Invincible Amour carrying 131lbs at $3.30. Strips fitter and will give another bold sight under Holder.

2nd Pick
2

Loyalty Reigns

Jockey: Jason Holder

Trainer: Sophie Logan

J: Jason Holder

T: Sophie Logan

95---8%13/1

Analysis

Second-up. Promising on debut 4th of 10 at Moe Mdn-Sw on February 23 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Meh Keffi with 127lbs at $3.20. Returned from break 4th of 10 at Yarra Valley 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 25 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Invincible Amour carrying 131lbs at $3.30. Strips fitter and will give another bold sight under Holder.

6
Stranded silk

Gelding back from a spell of four-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation third of 9 at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw July 15 over 6f, 3.5 len behind My Symbol carrying 126lbs at $7.50. First up last campaign fourth of 10 at Ballarat Synthetic 2yo Mdn-Sw June 27 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Sideline carrying 128lbs at $7.50. Capable of a bold return.

3rd Pick
6

Stranded

Jockey: Todd Pannell

Trainer: Michael Hickmott

J: Todd Pannell

T: Michael Hickmott

111---10%10/1

Analysis

Gelding back from a spell of four-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation third of 9 at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw July 15 over 6f, 3.5 len behind My Symbol carrying 126lbs at $7.50. First up last campaign fourth of 10 at Ballarat Synthetic 2yo Mdn-Sw June 27 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Sideline carrying 128lbs at $7.50. Capable of a bold return.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.