AU - Yarra Valley - Race 9

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

14.6K

VIEW

Verdict

TALLADEGA GIRL (9) returned from a break and led throughout for a strong win. Carries the same weight here after the claim and fitter again. Has good upside and is expected to take catching. ASMITA (14) was good fresh when runner-up then was not too far away but failed to threaten in the latest. Has a much better gate this time though and is capable of sharp improvement. FLITGROVE (6) resumed from a long break with a close-up fifth. Tough draw to overcome but strips fitter and well placed this level. INTIMEOFNEED (12) was another who ran well two back then disappointed last time. That has been a strong form race though and a senior rider goes on this time. Can bounce back. DOUBT IN THE SKY (10) is a progressive filly who was placed fresh then scored her maiden win last time. Up a notch here but improving with each run and can measure up again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
9	Third race start. First start sat behind the speed prior to fading 8th of 11 at Sale 2yo Mdn-Sw on June 25 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 7 len behind Lamassu carrying 123lbs at $4.40. Returned from break won by 0.8 len at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw December 5 over 6f defeating Blankfield carrying 123lbs at $9. Strips fitter and will be tough to beat again. 1st Pick 9 Talladega Girl Jockey: Bree Temple Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Bree Temple T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	124	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Third race start. First start sat behind the speed prior to fading 8th of 11 at Sale 2yo Mdn-Sw on June 25 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 7 len behind Lamassu carrying 123lbs at $4.40. Returned from break won by 0.8 len at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw December 5 over 6f defeating Blankfield carrying 123lbs at $9. Strips fitter and will be tough to beat again.
14	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 2nd of 11 at Moe Bm66 Hcp on November 16 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Speir carrying 120lbs at $13. Second-up 7th of 12 at Mornington Bm56 on December 5 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Diamond Indaruf with 131lbs at $2.50. Much better drawn this time and capable of sharp improvement. 2nd Pick 14 Asmita Jockey: Linda Meech Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman J: Linda Meech T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman	101	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 2nd of 11 at Moe Bm66 Hcp on November 16 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Speir carrying 120lbs at $13. Second-up 7th of 12 at Mornington Bm56 on December 5 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Diamond Indaruf with 131lbs at $2.50. Much better drawn this time and capable of sharp improvement.
6	Second run back. First-up after five months 5th of 11 at Donald Bm56 on December 2 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Turn Up The Night with 134lbs at $3.60. Previously second-up 4th of 10 at Benalla Bm64 on April 14 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Rocket Tiger carrying 118lbs at $3.90. Strips fitter and will be tough to beat despite the draw. 3rd Pick 6 Flitgrove Jockey: Caitlin Hollowood Trainer: L & T Corstens & W Larkin J: Caitlin Hollowood T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin	92	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months 5th of 11 at Donald Bm56 on December 2 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Turn Up The Night with 134lbs at $3.60. Previously second-up 4th of 10 at Benalla Bm64 on April 14 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Rocket Tiger carrying 118lbs at $3.90. Strips fitter and will be tough to beat despite the draw.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

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A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

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A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.