AU - Yarra Valley - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

14.3K

VIEW

Verdict

GOLDEN AGE (5) doesn't boast the best winning strike rate but ran a nice race last time out, finishing third and beaten only 1.2 lengths over 6f at Moe. That was a much tougher race than this, so looks well-placed. SHANGHAI VENTURE (8) finished 0.9 lengths from the winner in fourth last start after being prominent at the turn over 5 ?f at Kyneton, an improvement on her sixth at Geelong the run before. KENTAHTEN (1) was only narrowly beaten last time out, which followed a suitable first-up run and has previously demonstrated a liking for this track. DOMINANT MISS (11) has not won for a long while. Last raced on November 18 when beaten 2 lengths into sixth at Kyneton over 5 ?f. Placed to advantage so expect a better run this time. ELLMAKNIFICO (14) progressed nicely last start to finish a close second over 6f at Bairnsdale after missing the placings at the previous appearance and looks to have found a suitable race.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd of 7 at Moe Bm78 on November 16 over 6f, 1.2 len behind Recon with 119lbs at $51. The start before that 2nd of 8 at Mornington Cl1 on November 10 over 6f, slow going 0.5 len behind Stolen Art carrying 119lbs at $17. Major player back in this company. 1st Pick 5 Golden Age Jockey: Jarrod Fry Trainer: Michael Templeton J: Jarrod Fry T: Michael Templeton	169	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd of 7 at Moe Bm78 on November 16 over 6f, 1.2 len behind Recon with 119lbs at $51. The start before that 2nd of 8 at Mornington Cl1 on November 10 over 6f, slow going 0.5 len behind Stolen Art carrying 119lbs at $17. Major player back in this company.
8	Last start 4th of 10 at Kyneton F&M Bm56 on November 18 over 5f, 0.9 len behind Drone Attack carrying 132lbs at $5. Before that 6th of 8 at Geelong 0 - 62 on November 8 over 5f, on heavy track, 8 len behind Kagemusha carrying 123lbs at $4.80. Rarely runs a poor race and gets the draw to be prominent again. 2nd Pick 8 Shanghai Venture Jockey: Emily Pozman Trainer: Brian Mcgrath J: Emily Pozman T: Brian Mcgrath	148	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start 4th of 10 at Kyneton F&M Bm56 on November 18 over 5f, 0.9 len behind Drone Attack carrying 132lbs at $5. Before that 6th of 8 at Geelong 0 - 62 on November 8 over 5f, on heavy track, 8 len behind Kagemusha carrying 123lbs at $4.80. Rarely runs a poor race and gets the draw to be prominent again.
1	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 3rd of 10 at this track 0 - 56 on October 25 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Ranakye carrying 132lbs at $6. Second-up sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 at Dunkeld 0 - 56 on November 15 over 6f, on a slow track, long-neck behind Surfy Pete with 132lbs at $9. Racing well enough and can feature. 3rd Pick 1 Kentahten Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: Tori Madigan J: Jake Noonan T: Tori Madigan	90	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 3rd of 10 at this track 0 - 56 on October 25 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Ranakye carrying 132lbs at $6. Second-up sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 at Dunkeld 0 - 56 on November 15 over 6f, on a slow track, long-neck behind Surfy Pete with 132lbs at $9. Racing well enough and can feature.

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A male horse that is four years of age or under.

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Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.