AU - Yarra Valley - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

14.3K

VIEW

Verdict

HOT CHILLI MAMA (8) made progress last time out, finishing 3.5 lengths from the winner in third at the end of 7 ?f at Geelong after being in the firing line on the turn. Best figures measure up. Sure to run well. GINGER SWEET (10) doesn't win out of turn, scoring just once from 17 starts. Again tasted defeat last start when seventh over 1m at Seymour, beaten 7 lengths. Perfectly placed and is sure to play a major role in this easier assignment. OLNEY (2) last appeared when he finished seventh over 1 ½m at Geelong on May 23 but can pull out a run fresh and is a winner at his only start here. EPICUS (5) is experiencing a long win drought, extended last start when sixth over 6f at Hamilton after he was well back on straightening. Well placed and can run a better race. DOUGAL MCKEEN (3) ran an improved race last time out and from a draw that presents the rider with options, he'll get every chance to put up another strong performance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	At the latest run ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Geelong Bm56 on November 8 over 7f, on heavy track, 3.5 len behind Smoke 'N' Oakum with 119lbs at $7.50. The start before that 5th of 9 at Ballarat F&M Bm62 on October 24 over 7f, 3 len behind Queen Amanjena carrying 118lbs at $17. Nicely drawn and should prove hard to beat. 1st Pick 8 Hot Chilli Mama Jockey: Bree Temple Trainer: John Sadler J: Bree Temple T: John Sadler	140	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis At the latest run ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Geelong Bm56 on November 8 over 7f, on heavy track, 3.5 len behind Smoke 'N' Oakum with 119lbs at $7.50. The start before that 5th of 9 at Ballarat F&M Bm62 on October 24 over 7f, 3 len behind Queen Amanjena carrying 118lbs at $17. Nicely drawn and should prove hard to beat.
10	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up ran last of 9 at Ballarat F&M Bm62 on October 24 over 7f, 7 len behind Queen Amanjena with 129lbs at $11. Last start sat behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 10 at Seymour Bm62 on November 13 over 1m, 7 len behind MacEdon Rose carrying 122lbs at $18. Well placed. Certainly worth another chance. 2nd Pick 10 Ginger Sweet Jockey: Craig Newitt Trainer: Peter Gelagotis J: Craig Newitt T: Peter Gelagotis	106	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up ran last of 9 at Ballarat F&M Bm62 on October 24 over 7f, 7 len behind Queen Amanjena with 129lbs at $11. Last start sat behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 10 at Seymour Bm62 on November 13 over 1m, 7 len behind MacEdon Rose carrying 122lbs at $18. Well placed. Certainly worth another chance.
2	Resumes after a break of six months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign seventh of 10 at Geelong Bm58 May 23 over 1 ½m, 4 len behind Avenues with 131lbs at $10. Previously first up, sixth of 11 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Bm64 March 26 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Conchiero with 122lbs at $26. This is an ideal race to kick off. Goes well at the start of his campaigns. 3rd Pick 2 Olney Jockey: Jett Stanley Trainer: Greg Eurell J: Jett Stanley T: Greg Eurell	90	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Resumes after a break of six months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign seventh of 10 at Geelong Bm58 May 23 over 1 ½m, 4 len behind Avenues with 131lbs at $10. Previously first up, sixth of 11 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Bm64 March 26 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Conchiero with 122lbs at $26. This is an ideal race to kick off. Goes well at the start of his campaigns.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.