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2:41 AM

AU - Yarra Valley - Race 1

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 7
20.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CHAMPAGNE EXPRESS (4) ran some nice races in metro maidens in her debut campaign, beaten less than half a length when third on debut at Sandown before another third placing at the same track last time out. They were over further than this but jumpouts have been good and has the class to feature over this shorter trip, especially from the good draw. FLAT CHAT (5) is back from a break and will be improved on two recent trial placings. Rates highly and looks set to run well. AIN'T A BAD DAY (1) opened up a massive price ($71) on debut but was backed into $31 and ran a cracker to grab second, beaten 0.8 lengths, over 5f at Seymour. Better for that and open to plenty of improvement. ABOVE ME (3) made considerable ground in the run home to finish second last start over 5f at Echuca. Expected to be there at the business end. HAVANA MOON (6) is spotting experience to key rivals but is a multiple jumpout winner who will be primed to go.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Champagne Express silk

Resuming after a six months break. Finished off last preparation third of 8 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo Mdn-Sw June 4 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Illyivy carrying 117lbs at $26. On debut third of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo Mdn-Sw April 21 over 6f, a long neck behind Marble Point carrying 123lbs at $3.50. Resumes after a recent trial win. Ran well in city grade last prep and recent jumpouts have been good.

1st Pick
4

Champagne Express

Jockey: Patrick Moloney

Trainer: Robbie Griffiths

J: Patrick Moloney

T: Robbie Griffiths

88---23%7/2

Analysis

Resuming after a six months break. Finished off last preparation third of 8 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo Mdn-Sw June 4 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Illyivy carrying 117lbs at $26. On debut third of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo Mdn-Sw April 21 over 6f, a long neck behind Marble Point carrying 123lbs at $3.50. Resumes after a recent trial win. Ran well in city grade last prep and recent jumpouts have been good.

5
Flat Chat silk

Resuming. Finished off last preparation fourth of 7 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Mdn-Sw December 18 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Hustle In Heels carrying 123lbs at $3.90. On debut third of 8 at Moe 3yo Mdn-Sw November 21 2024 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Tophet carrying 123lbs at $13. Did little wrong in debut campaign and jumpouts ahead of this suggest she hasn't gone backwards.

2nd Pick
5

Flat Chat

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Colin Scott

J: Non Runner

T: Colin Scott

85---1%1000/1

Analysis

Resuming. Finished off last preparation fourth of 7 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Mdn-Sw December 18 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Hustle In Heels carrying 123lbs at $3.90. On debut third of 8 at Moe 3yo Mdn-Sw November 21 2024 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Tophet carrying 123lbs at $13. Did little wrong in debut campaign and jumpouts ahead of this suggest she hasn't gone backwards.

1
Ain't A Bad Day silk

Jumped at long odds at debut, held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on November 13 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Victory Tune with 128lbs at $31. Top chance to get off the mark.

3rd Pick
1

Ain't A Bad Day

Jockey: Jarrod Fry

Trainer: Matthew Brown

J: Jarrod Fry

T: Matthew Brown

102---17%5/1

Analysis

Jumped at long odds at debut, held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on November 13 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Victory Tune with 128lbs at $31. Top chance to get off the mark.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.