AU - The Valley - Race 4

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

97.3K

VIEW

Verdict

Competitive race. CAPPER THIRTYNINE (4) is racing very well and finds a suitable race. He's been narrowly beaten in fourth at his past couple, beaten under a length in a strongly run race at Flemington last time out. He lands in a good spot from the barrier and will take running down. PRINCESS QUE (5) was solid last time at Flemington behind Capper Thirtynine down the straight but had been going even better prior. Second to La Fracas around here two back is excellent form and Lane sticks with her. FLYER (14) was much better at big odds in G3 company last time and has to be included off that run while MYTEMPTATION (2) ran well fresh and is better placed out to 6f from a good draw.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Recent form sound. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 16 at Flemington Bm78 on October 4 over 6f, 0.9 len behind De Bergerac carrying 131lbs at $21. The run before that 4th of 11 at this track Bm84 on September 26 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Charcoals with 125lbs at $7.50. Going well and sets up nicely. 1st Pick 4 Capper Thirtynine Jockey: Rhys Mcleod Trainer: Nick Ryan J: Rhys Mcleod T: Nick Ryan	184	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 16 at Flemington Bm78 on October 4 over 6f, 0.9 len behind De Bergerac carrying 131lbs at $21. The run before that 4th of 11 at this track Bm84 on September 26 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Charcoals with 125lbs at $7.50. Going well and sets up nicely.
8	Second run back. First-up after five months favourite, won by 2.75 len at Hamilton Bm70 October 11 over 5 ½f in soft going defeating Sunburnt carrying 125lbs at $2.40. Previously second-up got back early 6th of 10 at Flemington 3yo Hcp on May 17 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Zourain carrying 119lbs at $31. Talented type who should measure up. 2nd Pick 8 Big Sexy Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Maddie Raymond & Patrick Bell J: Non Runner T: Maddie Raymond & Patrick Bell	140	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months favourite, won by 2.75 len at Hamilton Bm70 October 11 over 5 ½f in soft going defeating Sunburnt carrying 125lbs at $2.40. Previously second-up got back early 6th of 10 at Flemington 3yo Hcp on May 17 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Zourain carrying 119lbs at $31. Talented type who should measure up.
5	At the latest run faded in the straight 7th of 16 at Flemington Bm78 on October 4 over 6f, 3.5 len behind De Bergerac with 128lbs at $21. The start before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 9 at this track Bm84 on September 6 over 6f, 0.8 len behind La Fracas carrying 121lbs at $8. Can atone. 3rd Pick 5 Princess Que Jockey: Damian Lane Trainer: Simon Zahra J: Damian Lane T: Simon Zahra	173	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis At the latest run faded in the straight 7th of 16 at Flemington Bm78 on October 4 over 6f, 3.5 len behind De Bergerac with 128lbs at $21. The start before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 9 at this track Bm84 on September 6 over 6f, 0.8 len behind La Fracas carrying 121lbs at $8. Can atone.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.