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7:45 AM

AU - The Valley - Race 2

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
39.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CANARA (9) drops a long way in grade for this having started $5 in the G3 Carbine Club last start behind Aeliana, who was enormous in the G1 Thousand Guineas on Saturday. Canara was beaten 0.6 lengths by that filly at G3 level prior and back to a maiden here on the minimum, she looks awfully well placed. PUGLIA (10) has raced twice to date and just found one better both times. She tried hard here over 7 ?f last time out and will be better again from a perfect draw. GIRLS GIRLS GIRLS (6) worked home well fresh over shorter and will relish the extra ground. WILD RUBY (8) is coming along well and has each-way claims, as does FRATINEEZE (5) who has placed in her past couple.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Canara silk

Most recently second last of 7 at Flemington in the G3 Carbine Club on November 2 over 1m, 8 len behind Aeliana carrying 121lbs at $5. The start before that 4th of 13 at Randwick in the G3 Reg Allen on October 19 over 7f, slow going 0.6 len behind Aeliana with 120lbs at $17. Capable of sharp improvement.

1st Pick
9

Canara

Jockey: Damian Lane

Trainer: Chris Waller

J: Damian Lane

T: Chris Waller

189---43%11/8

Analysis

Most recently second last of 7 at Flemington in the G3 Carbine Club on November 2 over 1m, 8 len behind Aeliana carrying 121lbs at $5. The start before that 4th of 13 at Randwick in the G3 Reg Allen on October 19 over 7f, slow going 0.6 len behind Aeliana with 120lbs at $17. Capable of sharp improvement.

10
Puglia silk

Raced twice to date. At very big odds at debut, made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Ballarat 3yo Mdn-Sw on October 17 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Lady Sadler with 123lbs at $67. Second-up 2nd in a small field at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on November 1 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Mount Rinjani with 123lbs at $6. Coming along well and will take beating.

2nd Pick
10

Puglia

Jockey: Beau Mertens

Trainer: Archie Alexander

J: Beau Mertens

T: Archie Alexander

155---23%7/2

Analysis

Raced twice to date. At very big odds at debut, made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Ballarat 3yo Mdn-Sw on October 17 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Lady Sadler with 123lbs at $67. Second-up 2nd in a small field at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on November 1 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Mount Rinjani with 123lbs at $6. Coming along well and will take beating.

6
Girls Girls Girls silk

Second run back. First-up after nine months made ground from midfield, 2nd of 7 at Warrnambool F&M Mdn-Sw on November 11 over 7f, 2 len behind Matrooshi carrying 128lbs at $2.10. Previously second-up 2nd of 8 at Caulfield 3yo Bm70 on December 26 over 1m, slow going 0.5 len behind Angel Down with 126lbs at $5.50. Will relish the extra ground.

3rd Pick
6

Girls Girls Girls

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Andrew Bobbin

J: Non Runner

T: Andrew Bobbin

85---1%1000/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after nine months made ground from midfield, 2nd of 7 at Warrnambool F&M Mdn-Sw on November 11 over 7f, 2 len behind Matrooshi carrying 128lbs at $2.10. Previously second-up 2nd of 8 at Caulfield 3yo Bm70 on December 26 over 1m, slow going 0.5 len behind Angel Down with 126lbs at $5.50. Will relish the extra ground.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.