AU - The Valley - Race 2

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

97.3K

VIEW

Verdict

Tricky race. INVINCIBLE WOMAN (4) is interesting first up off a spell. She won very well on debut at Caulfield Heath in a rich race before struggling badly when in the market in the Magic Millions 2yo Classic. She's won a jumpout leading in and gets Damian Lane aboard which is a good sign. Tipping she can be sharper than SONOFKIRK (1) over 5f. He's a talented colt who will find this much easier than the G3 McNeil Stakes at Caulfield last time out but he does get back in the field and that's fraught with danger over the Moonee Valley 5f. CAVALRY GIRL (2) was good at big odds behind My Gladiola two back which is great form and then did enough at Mornington as favourite. She can go on with it. BOLD SECRET (5) resumes having run a strong race on debut at Flemington last time in. He'll be hard to hold out late. SISSTAINABLE (6) is a sharp filly suited at 5f.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Resuming after a nine months break. Finished off last campaign 14th of 16 at Gold Coast in the LR Mm 2yo Classic January 17 over 6f, 8 len behind O' Ole with 121lbs at $7. On debut won by 2.75 len Caulfield Heath Mm 2yo Classic December 14 over 5 ½f defeating Zouclaire carrying 123lbs at $3.80. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Ticks plenty of boxes. 1st Pick 4 Invincible Woman Jockey: Damian Lane Trainer: Lloyd Kennewell J: Damian Lane T: Lloyd Kennewell	121	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Resuming after a nine months break. Finished off last campaign 14th of 16 at Gold Coast in the LR Mm 2yo Classic January 17 over 6f, 8 len behind O' Ole with 121lbs at $7. On debut won by 2.75 len Caulfield Heath Mm 2yo Classic December 14 over 5 ½f defeating Zouclaire carrying 123lbs at $3.80. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Ticks plenty of boxes.
1	Comes off a 55 day let-up. Last start got back early 5th of 9 at Caulfield in the G3 Mcneil on August 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Tycoon Star with 126lbs at $12. The start before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 7 at Caulfield in the G3 Vain Stks on August 16 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Jimmy Recard with 123lbs at $5.50. Form reads well, hard to hold out. 2nd Pick 1 Sonofkirk Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Jamie Mott T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	135	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Comes off a 55 day let-up. Last start got back early 5th of 9 at Caulfield in the G3 Mcneil on August 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Tycoon Star with 126lbs at $12. The start before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 7 at Caulfield in the G3 Vain Stks on August 16 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Jimmy Recard with 123lbs at $5.50. Form reads well, hard to hold out.
2	Most recently favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Mornington 3yo Bm64 September 28 over 5f defeating Star Trip carrying 121lbs at $2.10. The start before that faded in the straight 9th of 18 at Flemington in the LR Cap D'antibes on September 13 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind My Gladiola carrying 126lbs at $61. Should prove competitive again. 3rd Pick 2 Cavalry Girl Jockey: William Stanley Trainer: Tom Dabernig J: William Stanley T: Tom Dabernig	171	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Most recently favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Mornington 3yo Bm64 September 28 over 5f defeating Star Trip carrying 121lbs at $2.10. The start before that faded in the straight 9th of 18 at Flemington in the LR Cap D'antibes on September 13 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind My Gladiola carrying 126lbs at $61. Should prove competitive again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.