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4:59 AM

AU - The Valley - Race 1

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
5f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
39.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GRINZINGER LOVE (7) is a consistent type who should take some beating here. She's been around the mark in three runs since a maiden win, fourth in a strong form race at Geelong two back before a close-up effort at Kyneton. Can figure. HEDONIST (1) ran a great race at big odds at Flemington last time and that's good form for this. His run here two back was okay against a smart filly. GIVE FAITH (6) is progressive, winning her maiden easily two back before a sound effort at Mornington. Can measure up. BIANCELLI (5) won nicely on debut at Ballarat when hard in the market. She can go right on with it now. RUBIQUITY (4) was too good as a $1.80 chance at Warrnambool and is heading the right way.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Grinzinger Love silk

Recent form sound. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Kyneton F&M Bm64 on November 6 over 5 ½f, 0.8 len behind Hearcomesthestar with 126lbs at $9.50. Before that 4th of 10 at Geelong Bm64 on October 23 over 5 ½f, 1.3 len behind Romani Ite Domum carrying 120lbs at $26. Big chance on the back of that encouraging effort last time.

1st Pick
7

Grinzinger Love

Jockey: Damian Lane

Trainer: Danny O'brien

J: Damian Lane

T: Danny O'brien

158---19%9/2

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Kyneton F&M Bm64 on November 6 over 5 ½f, 0.8 len behind Hearcomesthestar with 126lbs at $9.50. Before that 4th of 10 at Geelong Bm64 on October 23 over 5 ½f, 1.3 len behind Romani Ite Domum carrying 120lbs at $26. Big chance on the back of that encouraging effort last time.

1
Hedonist silk

Useful gelding. At the latest run 2nd of 19 at Flemington 3yo SWP on November 5 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Manolo Bling carrying 126lbs at $26. The start before that 7th of 11 at this track 3yo Bm70 on October 25 over 5f, 4 len behind Rich Dottie carrying 125lbs at $15. Well placed back in grade, go close.

2nd Pick
1

Hedonist

Jockey: Jordan Childs

Trainer: Tom Dabernig

J: Jordan Childs

T: Tom Dabernig

259---34%2/1

Analysis

Useful gelding. At the latest run 2nd of 19 at Flemington 3yo SWP on November 5 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Manolo Bling carrying 126lbs at $26. The start before that 7th of 11 at this track 3yo Bm70 on October 25 over 5f, 4 len behind Rich Dottie carrying 125lbs at $15. Well placed back in grade, go close.

6
Give Faith silk

Racing well. Most recently came from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Mornington Bm58 on November 12 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Harmonett carrying 129lbs at $5.50. The race before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.5 len at Yarra Valley 3yo Mdn-Sw October 26 over 5f in soft going defeating Simply Luscious with 123lbs at $3. Not far away last time. On the up and should figure.

3rd Pick
6

Give Faith

Jockey: Jamie Mott

Trainer: John Mcardle

J: Jamie Mott

T: John Mcardle

141---13%7/1

Analysis

Racing well. Most recently came from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Mornington Bm58 on November 12 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Harmonett carrying 129lbs at $5.50. The race before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.5 len at Yarra Valley 3yo Mdn-Sw October 26 over 5f in soft going defeating Simply Luscious with 123lbs at $3. Not far away last time. On the up and should figure.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.