AU - Seymour - Race 9

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

17.6K

VIEW

Verdict

Tough way to end the day, but FLOSSING (2) looks to have found the right race to return to break his lengthy winning drought. Is back in trip, but recent efforts have been in tougher grade than this and three of his seven wins have come at the mile. Has also run top two at five of his six Heavy track runs so if the predicted ran does arrive that won't bother him. ANOTHER NEPHEW (4) should be ready to fire after four runs back from a spell and the last-start third in 64 grade was his first this prep out of BM70 company. BATOKA CHIEF (5) looked a star on debut and ended last prep with a confidence-boosting win. Wilted late in a recent jumpout, so might need this but certainly has the talent to be winning. CROSSOVERKID (10) made an encouraging return in lesser grade but should have improvement to come and is up to a more suitable trip. SOUND OF JURA (6) ran well here first-up ad will be running on strongly again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 15 at Sandown-Hillside Bm70 on July 30 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Superstock with 128lbs at $20. The race before that came from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Sandown-Hillside Bm70 on July 16 over 1m, slow going 5 len behind Juja Kibo with 128lbs at $20. This is the easiest race he's been in for a while. 1st Pick 2 Flossing Jockey: Emily Pozman Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Emily Pozman T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	168	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 15 at Sandown-Hillside Bm70 on July 30 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Superstock with 128lbs at $20. The race before that came from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Sandown-Hillside Bm70 on July 16 over 1m, slow going 5 len behind Juja Kibo with 128lbs at $20. This is the easiest race he's been in for a while.
4	Last start 3rd of 11 at Sale Bm64 on July 31 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Maxxi Bon carrying 132lbs at $10. The run before that sat behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 12 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm70 on July 9 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Black Storm with 128lbs at $14. Drawn well and should be ready for a peak run. 2nd Pick 4 Another Nephew Jockey: Will Gordon Trainer: Patrick & Michelle Payne J: Will Gordon T: Patrick & Michelle Payne	164	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start 3rd of 11 at Sale Bm64 on July 31 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Maxxi Bon carrying 132lbs at $10. The run before that sat behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 12 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm70 on July 9 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Black Storm with 128lbs at $14. Drawn well and should be ready for a peak run.
8	At the latest run 5th of 10 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm70 on July 28 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Super Trooper carrying 117lbs at $8.50. The run before that 3rd of 12 at Ballarat Synthetic Bm58 on July 8 over 7 ½f, 1.4 len behind Life Sentence carrying 137lbs at $5. Not far away of late in tougher races than this. 3rd Pick 8 Nuts 'n' Bolts Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Non Runner T: Ciaron Maher	120	-	-	-	8%	Scratched
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 10 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm70 on July 28 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Super Trooper carrying 117lbs at $8.50. The run before that 3rd of 12 at Ballarat Synthetic Bm58 on July 8 over 7 ½f, 1.4 len behind Life Sentence carrying 137lbs at $5. Not far away of late in tougher races than this.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.