AU - Mildura - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

21.1K

VIEW

Verdict

MISSION GOLD (3) is the one with upside that appeals here off an encouraging return at Mt Gambier, running on well from back in the field to grab fourth. That was his first run for the Payne yard having shown ability in better maidens in NSW last time in. Better placed out to 5f here and can get the job done. MORAL TURPITUDE (4) resumes. The debut effort at Seymour last time in reads quite well for this behind some talented types before some sound efforts afterwards. The draw isn't ideal but he can roll forward and run a bold race. BOLSHOI BABE (11) debuted over 5 ½f at Bordertown and ran well for third. That was a fairly low maiden but she's open to improvement and can figure. JURA VAUDOIS (6) resumes. Her form was mixed last time in but the best efforts have her firmly in the mix. CHEERS TO US (5) is off a long break, watch the betting.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Second run back. First-up after six months 4th of 12 at Mt Gambier 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on September 21 over 4 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Bubion carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up 2nd of 8 at Kembla Grange Mdn-Sw on March 14 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Lyles carrying 130lbs at $4.80. Fitter and is expected to do much better. 1st Pick 3 Mission Gold Jockey: Neil Farley Trainer: Patrick & Michelle Payne J: Neil Farley T: Patrick & Michelle Payne	236	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months 4th of 12 at Mt Gambier 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on September 21 over 4 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Bubion carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up 2nd of 8 at Kembla Grange Mdn-Sw on March 14 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Lyles carrying 130lbs at $4.80. Fitter and is expected to do much better.
4	Racing first-up today. Finished off last campaign third of 11 at Bendigo 3yo Mdn-Sw May 30 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Glamour Ana carrying 128lbs at $41. On debut fourth of 7 at Seymour 3yo Mdn-Sw April 15 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Bedtime Angel carrying 128lbs at $8.50. Should take beating. 2nd Pick 4 Moral Turpitude Jockey: Liam Riordan Trainer: Erin Maher J: Liam Riordan T: Erin Maher	77	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Racing first-up today. Finished off last campaign third of 11 at Bendigo 3yo Mdn-Sw May 30 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Glamour Ana carrying 128lbs at $41. On debut fourth of 7 at Seymour 3yo Mdn-Sw April 15 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Bedtime Angel carrying 128lbs at $8.50. Should take beating.
11	At debut, sat on the pace when 3rd of 11 at Bordertown 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on September 12 over 5 ½f, slow going 1.3 len behind Fussy As carrying 116lbs at $16. Better for that hit-out and looks one of the main contenders. 3rd Pick 11 Bolshoi Babe Jockey: Eoin Walsh Trainer: Jeffrey Searle J: Eoin Walsh T: Jeffrey Searle	90	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis At debut, sat on the pace when 3rd of 11 at Bordertown 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on September 12 over 5 ½f, slow going 1.3 len behind Fussy As carrying 116lbs at $16. Better for that hit-out and looks one of the main contenders.

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