AU - Cranbourne - Race 6

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

39.6K

VIEW

Verdict

Competitive race. GELLHORN (4) had always promised a bit and resumed with a strong win at Seymour over 6 ½f in a good BM62, proving too strong late there. Second up last time in she ran 4th in a Listed race, and she should have taken improvement second up. With a bit of luck from the wide draw she can win again. REINA ISABELLA (6) is another off a good win first up, scoring comfortably at Pakenham when getting through conditions best. She clearly loves wet ground and won't get that here but has run well enough on good tracks to figure here. STAGE 'N' SCREEN (3) was behind Reina Isabella last time but did start a near identical price there and should be fitter. She can turn the tables on firmer going. QUEEN OF TUSCANY (1) did enough first up at Caulfield Heath in a good race. Fitter for the rise to 7f and is suited in this grade, she has each way claims.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Second-up. First-up after eight months came from midfield and won by a head at Seymour Bm62 November 13 over 6 ½f defeating Watersports carrying 129lbs at $3.90. Previously second-up 4th of 12 at Caulfield in the LR Twilight Glow on November 30 2024 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind She's Got Pizzazz with 123lbs at $14. Has ability and can go right on with it. 1st Pick 4 Gellhorn Jockey: Luke Cartwright Trainer: Michael Kent J: Luke Cartwright T: Michael Kent	132	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after eight months came from midfield and won by a head at Seymour Bm62 November 13 over 6 ½f defeating Watersports carrying 129lbs at $3.90. Previously second-up 4th of 12 at Caulfield in the LR Twilight Glow on November 30 2024 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind She's Got Pizzazz with 123lbs at $14. Has ability and can go right on with it.
6	Second run back. First-up after six months won by 2.25 len at Pakenham F&M Bm66 November 7 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Go Left carrying 129lbs at $3.60. Previously second-up came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Pakenham 0 - 64 on April 3 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Fear No Evil with 125lbs at $4.40. Can go on with it. Looks a big chance. 2nd Pick 6 Reina Isabella Jockey: Logan Bates Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Logan Bates T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	140	-	-	-	45%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months won by 2.25 len at Pakenham F&M Bm66 November 7 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Go Left carrying 129lbs at $3.60. Previously second-up came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Pakenham 0 - 64 on April 3 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Fear No Evil with 125lbs at $4.40. Can go on with it. Looks a big chance.
3	Second-up. First-up after four months sat on the pace when 3rd of 8 at Pakenham F&M Bm66 on November 7 over 6f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Reina Isabella carrying 132lbs at $3.70. Previously second-up 6th of 10 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo F Bm64 on March 26 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Bronte Beach with 129lbs at $3.20. Fitter and best form last time reads well. 3rd Pick 3 Stage 'n' Screen Jockey: Rose Hammond Trainer: Mark Walker J: Rose Hammond T: Mark Walker	82	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months sat on the pace when 3rd of 8 at Pakenham F&M Bm66 on November 7 over 6f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Reina Isabella carrying 132lbs at $3.70. Previously second-up 6th of 10 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo F Bm64 on March 26 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Bronte Beach with 129lbs at $3.20. Fitter and best form last time reads well.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.