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Resulted

AU - Mornington - Race 9

Thoroughbred
18 Runners
7.5f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
17.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PROVEN RECORD (9) accounted for a maiden field over 1m at Pakenham last start when fresh from a break. Is lightly raced and has plenty of scope for improvement. MONT SAINT MICHEL (17) has been thereabouts without winning, the latest finishing a half a length second at Ararat and drops in the weights for this. Meets a tougher line-up this time but can measure up. PRESERVATOR (4) was comfortably accounted for when seventh last time out over 1m at Pakenham, beaten 11 lengths, but was a nice winner the start prior and draws to advantage here. NORWOODS (7) rarely runs poorly and got within 1.5 lengths of Williamstown, who would have been one of the leading fancies here, two back. SINISTER SAUCE (14) returned in great style and draws to go on with it here.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Williamstown silk

Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 12 at this track Bm62 on November 27 over 7 ½f, 1.5 len behind Miss Playlounge with 131lbs at $14. The run before that won by 1.5 len at this track Bm56 November 10 over 7 ½f in soft going defeating Norwoods carrying 133lbs at $9. Won four from eight here and not beaten far last start, so must be respected.

1st Pick
2

Williamstown

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Rob Blacker

J: Non Runner

T: Rob Blacker

124---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 12 at this track Bm62 on November 27 over 7 ½f, 1.5 len behind Miss Playlounge with 131lbs at $14. The run before that won by 1.5 len at this track Bm56 November 10 over 7 ½f in soft going defeating Norwoods carrying 133lbs at $9. Won four from eight here and not beaten far last start, so must be respected.

9
Proven Record silk

Second-up. First-up after four months scored a big 5.5 len win at Pakenham F&M Mdn-Sw November 14 over 1m on a soft track defeating Dela Bella with 128lbs at $7.50. Previously second-up 6th of 8 at Gold Coast Mdn-Sw on June 14 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Better Draw with 123lbs at $7. Big chance to make it back-to-back wins. Up in grade off the maiden win but looks more progressive than most.

2nd Pick
9

Proven Record

Jockey: Jackie Beriman

Trainer: Bevan Laming

J: Jackie Beriman

T: Bevan Laming

152---13%

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after four months scored a big 5.5 len win at Pakenham F&M Mdn-Sw November 14 over 1m on a soft track defeating Dela Bella with 128lbs at $7.50. Previously second-up 6th of 8 at Gold Coast Mdn-Sw on June 14 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Better Draw with 123lbs at $7. Big chance to make it back-to-back wins. Up in grade off the maiden win but looks more progressive than most.

17
Mont Saint Michel silk

Recent form sound. Last start 2nd of 12 at Ararat Bm56 on November 25 over 6 ½f, 0.5 len behind Vaderlee with 133lbs at $9. Before that 4th of 12 at this track Bm56 on November 10 over 6f, slow going 0.5 len behind Power Cable with 133lbs at $10. Sticky gate but consistency can not be faulted.

3rd Pick
17

Mont Saint Michel

Jockey: Craig Newitt

Trainer: Paul & Tracey Templeton

J: Craig Newitt

T: Paul & Tracey Templeton

83---17%

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start 2nd of 12 at Ararat Bm56 on November 25 over 6 ½f, 0.5 len behind Vaderlee with 133lbs at $9. Before that 4th of 12 at this track Bm56 on November 10 over 6f, slow going 0.5 len behind Power Cable with 133lbs at $10. Sticky gate but consistency can not be faulted.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.