AU - Mornington - Race 5

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

21.8K

VIEW

Verdict

EXCESS (2) has been a bit underwhelming in two runs back from a spell but her best would likely win this, and she wasn't beaten far despite finishing fourth of six at this track last time out. She should be at peak fitness now and should take catching. AZEEZLE (4) won over this route fresh in slightly easier company before a sound effort in this grade at Caulfield Heath last time behind Castellar, which ties in with Excess from their last clash. Azeezle is still on the up and will give a good sight. EPIC CENTRE (1) will find this easier than recent runs and could be a quick improver. AMINATU (3) is always a hope at this level.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Third-up today. First-up sat behind the speed prior to fading 8th of 10 at Moonee Valley F&M Bm70 on December 28 over 5f, 6 len behind Fickle carrying 133lbs at $11. Last start 4th in a small field at this track Bm64 on January 8 over 5f, 2 len behind Castellar carrying 128lbs at $3.60. Best form would go awfully close. 1st Pick 2 Excess Jockey: Emily Pozman Trainer: Julius Sandhu J: Emily Pozman T: Julius Sandhu	121	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up sat behind the speed prior to fading 8th of 10 at Moonee Valley F&M Bm70 on December 28 over 5f, 6 len behind Fickle carrying 133lbs at $11. Last start 4th in a small field at this track Bm64 on January 8 over 5f, 2 len behind Castellar carrying 128lbs at $3.60. Best form would go awfully close.
4	Third-up today. First-up won by a neck at this track 0 - 64 December 11 over 5f defeating Santasia carrying 126lbs at $2. Second-up 4th of 8 at Caulfield Heath Bm64 on December 26 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Castellar carrying 130lbs at $4.40. Better suited back to this grade. 2nd Pick 4 Azeezle Jockey: Stephanie Hateley Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Stephanie Hateley T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	185	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up won by a neck at this track 0 - 64 December 11 over 5f defeating Santasia carrying 126lbs at $2. Second-up 4th of 8 at Caulfield Heath Bm64 on December 26 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Castellar carrying 130lbs at $4.40. Better suited back to this grade.
10	Resuming. Finished off last preparation second in a small field at Bendigo 3yo Bm64 October 6 over 5 ½f, 0.5 len behind Winnasedge with 130lbs at $12. On debut third of 7 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw September 6 over 5f, soft track, 1.3 len behind Winnasedge with 128lbs at $9.50. Can win. 3rd Pick 10 Flash 'n' Dash Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Dean Binaisse J: Non Runner T: Dean Binaisse	110	-	-	-	25%	Scratched
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last preparation second in a small field at Bendigo 3yo Bm64 October 6 over 5 ½f, 0.5 len behind Winnasedge with 130lbs at $12. On debut third of 7 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw September 6 over 5f, soft track, 1.3 len behind Winnasedge with 128lbs at $9.50. Can win.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.