AU - Mornington - Race 5

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

21.1K

VIEW

Verdict

GRAYNITA (9) finished out of the money on debut two starts back then was beaten 3 lengths when eighth in a 6f contest at Kyneton last start. Well placed, blinkers go on and there is no reason she cannot find winning ways. NIELSEN PARK (5) remains a maiden after four runs but was one of the favoured runners last time but could only manage to finish sixth over 6f at Seymour. Finds a more suitable assignment this time and is a great chance to break through. SAN PUEBLO (3) missed the placings two runs back then was never in contention last start when 5 lengths away in ninth over 5 ½f at Moe. This more to his liking. GOOD ONYA CHAMP (4) has come through much tougher races at his two runs to date so sharp improvement would not shock.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
9	Raced two times to date. At big odds at debut, 4th of 8 at this track 3yo F Mdn-Sw on November 2 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Caffettiera carrying 126lbs at $31. Last start 8th of 12 at Kyneton 3yo Mdn-Sw on November 18 over 6f, 3 len behind Bold Bordeaux carrying 123lbs at $10. Looks well-placed to get into the winner's list, especially with blinkers 1st Pick 9 Graynita Jockey: Luke Currie Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Luke Currie T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	163	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Raced two times to date. At big odds at debut, 4th of 8 at this track 3yo F Mdn-Sw on November 2 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Caffettiera carrying 126lbs at $31. Last start 8th of 12 at Kyneton 3yo Mdn-Sw on November 18 over 6f, 3 len behind Bold Bordeaux carrying 123lbs at $10. Looks well-placed to get into the winner's list, especially with blinkers
5	At the latest run 6th of 11 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on November 13 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Sabeeria with 128lbs at $2.90. Before that got back early 6th of 12 at Kembla Grange Cg&E Mdn-Sw on October 25 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Pimlico with 125lbs at $6. Hard to beat on his best form in a race of this nature. 2nd Pick 5 Nielsen Park Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Daniel Stackhouse T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	175	-	-	-	34%
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 11 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on November 13 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Sabeeria with 128lbs at $2.90. Before that got back early 6th of 12 at Kembla Grange Cg&E Mdn-Sw on October 25 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Pimlico with 125lbs at $6. Hard to beat on his best form in a race of this nature.
3	At the latest run eased back early on 9th of 12 at Moe 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 16 over 5 ½f, slow going 5 len behind Remember Poppy with 131lbs at $19. The start before that eased back early on 4th of 8 at this track Mdn-Sw on October 23 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Final Moment carrying 131lbs at $19. Nicely placed and is a winning chance. 3rd Pick 3 San Pueblo Jockey: Jett Stanley Trainer: Marcus Fahler J: Jett Stanley T: Marcus Fahler	114	-	-	-	4%
Analysis At the latest run eased back early on 9th of 12 at Moe 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 16 over 5 ½f, slow going 5 len behind Remember Poppy with 131lbs at $19. The start before that eased back early on 4th of 8 at this track Mdn-Sw on October 23 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Final Moment carrying 131lbs at $19. Nicely placed and is a winning chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.