AU - Mornington - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

23.3K

VIEW

Verdict

NEPRAVDA (11) resumes having been well supported on debut at Geelong, starting $3.50 and running an even race in a small field. Expecting improvement with a spell under the belt and she can return with a big run. AMARA VALENCIA (1) was hard in the market and failed at Sale last time out, perhaps not seeing out the 7f. The fresh run at Moonee Valley is solid form for this and she draws for every hope. MIDNIGHT IN MINORI (10) ran well in a small field on debut over this route, finishing third. She can improve off that and has each way claims. HUBRISTIC (9) is a filly by Belardo on debut for the Price & Kent Jnr yard and the stable must be respected.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
11	Resuming after a break, only one run when in a small field at Geelong 3yo F Mdn-Sw on September 1 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Actuality with 126lbs at $3.50. Can return in winning form. 1st Pick 11 Nepravda Jockey: Dakotah Keane Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Dakotah Keane T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	81	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Resuming after a break, only one run when in a small field at Geelong 3yo F Mdn-Sw on September 1 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Actuality with 126lbs at $3.50. Can return in winning form.
1	Third-up today. First-up raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Moonee Valley Mdn-Sw on December 13 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Rockin' At Midnite with 128lbs at $8.50. Second run from a spell raced on the pace before fading second last of 9 at Sale 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 22 over 7f, 8 len behind Powerful Torque with 127lbs at $2.70. Best form stacks up so she can bounce back. 2nd Pick 1 Amara Valencia Jockey: Joe Bowditch Trainer: Ricky Maund J: Joe Bowditch T: Ricky Maund	106	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Moonee Valley Mdn-Sw on December 13 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Rockin' At Midnite with 128lbs at $8.50. Second run from a spell raced on the pace before fading second last of 9 at Sale 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 22 over 7f, 8 len behind Powerful Torque with 127lbs at $2.70. Best form stacks up so she can bounce back.
10	At debut, got back early 3rd in a small field at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on January 5 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Mordialloc Beach with 125lbs at $8.50. Leading contender with that run under her belt. 3rd Pick 10 Midnight In Minori Jockey: Declan Bates Trainer: Clayton Douglas J: Declan Bates T: Clayton Douglas	97	-	-	-	9%
Analysis At debut, got back early 3rd in a small field at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on January 5 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Mordialloc Beach with 125lbs at $8.50. Leading contender with that run under her belt.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.