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Resulted

AU - Mornington - Race 3

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
21.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

AIN'T A BAD DAY (5) turned in a solid run on debut last start, beaten 0.8 lengths into second at Seymour over 5f when was specked at a huge price ($71 into $31). Likely improver who should prove tough to beat. POISED TYCOON (15) was plain on debut but has been gelded since and has shown great speed winning his past two jumpouts. Blinkers on for the return on the home deck are big ticks. TASSORTING (9) is yet to break through after three career starts. Could only manage to finish fifth last time out over 6f at Kyneton following a minor placing at Kyneton over 5 ½f the run prior. JACK THE JUDGE (8) did a fair job on debut last time out, finishing 2 lengths from the winner in third over 5f at this track.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Flat Chat silk

Resuming after a year break. Finished off last campaign fourth of 7 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Mdn-Sw December 18 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Hustle In Heels carrying 123lbs at $3.90. On debut third of 8 at Moe 3yo Mdn-Sw November 21 2024 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Tophet carrying 123lbs at $13. Another back after a long break but second at two jumpouts this time in and looks a player despite the horror gate.

1st Pick
10

Flat Chat

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Colin Scott

J: Non Runner

T: Colin Scott

82---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Resuming after a year break. Finished off last campaign fourth of 7 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Mdn-Sw December 18 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Hustle In Heels carrying 123lbs at $3.90. On debut third of 8 at Moe 3yo Mdn-Sw November 21 2024 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Tophet carrying 123lbs at $13. Another back after a long break but second at two jumpouts this time in and looks a player despite the horror gate.

5
Ain't A Bad Day silk

Jumped at big odds at debut, held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on November 13 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Victory Tune with 128lbs at $31. Leading chance with plenty of upside.

2nd Pick
5

Ain't A Bad Day

Jockey: Liam Riordan

Trainer: Matthew Brown

J: Liam Riordan

T: Matthew Brown

111---12%

Analysis

Jumped at big odds at debut, held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on November 13 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Victory Tune with 128lbs at $31. Leading chance with plenty of upside.

15
Poised Tycoon silk

Resuming from a lengthy break. Only one run when second last of 7 at Wodonga 2yo Hcp on May 24 over 6f, slow going 12 len behind Impending War with 128lbs at $15. Dashing winner of past two jumpouts and 5f from a good gate on the home deck in blinkers looks perfect for first run as a gelding.

3rd Pick
15

Poised Tycoon

Jockey: Dylan Dunn

Trainer: Matt Laurie

J: Dylan Dunn

T: Matt Laurie

87---9%

Analysis

Resuming from a lengthy break. Only one run when second last of 7 at Wodonga 2yo Hcp on May 24 over 6f, slow going 12 len behind Impending War with 128lbs at $15. Dashing winner of past two jumpouts and 5f from a good gate on the home deck in blinkers looks perfect for first run as a gelding.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.