AU - Mornington - Race 1

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

10.2f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

23.3K

VIEW

Verdict

SAINT WINIFRED (13) is knocking on the door with back to back third placings, beaten under a length at Cranbourne two back before another close up finish at Yarra Valley over 1 ³/16m. This doesn't look any harder, she should be hard to hold out. ARIMACS (1) has run fourth in both career starts to date, only half a length behind Saint Winifred at Yarra Valley last time out. He maps for a nice run here and should improve again. PEEAITCHDEE (9) made good improvement at his second start after being beaten a long way on debut at Seymour. He should appreciate getting over more ground and maps for a soft trail. SO BRAVE (7) ran a solid race on debut at Pakenham over 1m, battling on for fourth. He's a So You Think gelding who should improve up in trip here. MARLIN (4) has been about the mark of late and can figure.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
13	Recent form sound. At the latest run 3rd of 11 at Yarra Valley Mdn-Sw on January 2 over 1 ³/16m, 0.9 len behind Olney with 127lbs at $14. The race before that 3rd of 7 at Cranbourne F&M Mdn-Sw on December 13 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Alabama Girl carrying 128lbs at $14. Should prove hard to beat. 1st Pick 13 Saint Winifred Jockey: Jackie Beriman Trainer: Michael Trotter J: Jackie Beriman T: Michael Trotter	128	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 3rd of 11 at Yarra Valley Mdn-Sw on January 2 over 1 ³/16m, 0.9 len behind Olney with 127lbs at $14. The race before that 3rd of 7 at Cranbourne F&M Mdn-Sw on December 13 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Alabama Girl carrying 128lbs at $14. Should prove hard to beat.
1	Raced two times to date. At very long odds at debut, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at Yarra Valley Mdn-Sw on December 20 over 7 ½f, 4.5 len behind Candle In The Dark with 131lbs at $61. Last start 4th of 11 at Yarra Valley Mdn-Sw on January 2 over 1 ³/16m, 1.4 len behind Olney with 131lbs at $26. Capable of fighting out the finish again. 2nd Pick 1 Arimacs Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: Steven King J: Jake Noonan T: Steven King	108	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Raced two times to date. At very long odds at debut, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at Yarra Valley Mdn-Sw on December 20 over 7 ½f, 4.5 len behind Candle In The Dark with 131lbs at $61. Last start 4th of 11 at Yarra Valley Mdn-Sw on January 2 over 1 ³/16m, 1.4 len behind Olney with 131lbs at $26. Capable of fighting out the finish again.
9	Lining up for just third start. At debut, 7th of 9 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on December 19 over 1m, 18 len behind Mr Verse with 128lbs at $18. Second-up raced on the pace when 3rd of 9 at Sale Mdn-Sw on January 9 over 1 ¹/16m, 6 len behind Emphasize carrying 128lbs at $21. Improver expected to go very well. 3rd Pick 9 Peeaitchdee Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Grahame Begg J: Jamie Mott T: Grahame Begg	142	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Lining up for just third start. At debut, 7th of 9 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on December 19 over 1m, 18 len behind Mr Verse with 128lbs at $18. Second-up raced on the pace when 3rd of 9 at Sale Mdn-Sw on January 9 over 1 ¹/16m, 6 len behind Emphasize carrying 128lbs at $21. Improver expected to go very well.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.