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8:30 AM

AU - Sandown Hillside - Race 8

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
7.5f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
38.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

WATERSPORTS (9) looks well placed. She's a consistent mare who hasn't missed the placings in four runs this campaign, beating subsequent winner Porter two back at Cranbourne, close up behind another subsequent winner Midnite Storm at Flemington last time out. This sets up very well for her, tracking the main dangers, and she only needs to hold her form to be back to winning ways. SAVAMOON (5) is going well, just edged out after doing a bit of early work over this track and distance last start. Drawn wide this time but he'll roll across and take catching. SIRIUS STATEMENT (4) was better last time and has each-way claims, as does ITAZURA (10) who was just fair last time in a stronger race at Flemington but had won his maiden well prior.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Watersports silk

Racing well recently. Last start 3rd of 10 at Flemington Bm70 on January 10 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Midnite Storm with 126lbs at $3.50. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a head at Cranbourne Bm70 December 27 over 7 ½f defeating Porter carrying 119lbs at $3.10. Going well and recent form rates highly.

1st Pick
9

Watersports

Jockey: Craig Williams

Trainer: Archie Alexander

J: Craig Williams

T: Archie Alexander

178---37%7/4

Analysis

Racing well recently. Last start 3rd of 10 at Flemington Bm70 on January 10 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Midnite Storm with 126lbs at $3.50. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a head at Cranbourne Bm70 December 27 over 7 ½f defeating Porter carrying 119lbs at $3.10. Going well and recent form rates highly.

5
Savamoon silk

Form hard to fault. At the latest run tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 8 at this track Nmw on January 21 over 7 ½f, nose behind Vivacissimo carrying 128lbs at $2.70. The run before that 4th of 12 at Cranbourne Bm70 on December 27 over 7 ½f, 4 len behind Watersports with 128lbs at $11. Making headway. In fine form and will take catching.

2nd Pick
5

Savamoon

Jockey: Luke Cartwright

Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

J: Luke Cartwright

T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

156---13%7/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. At the latest run tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 8 at this track Nmw on January 21 over 7 ½f, nose behind Vivacissimo carrying 128lbs at $2.70. The run before that 4th of 12 at Cranbourne Bm70 on December 27 over 7 ½f, 4 len behind Watersports with 128lbs at $11. Making headway. In fine form and will take catching.

7
Itsukushima silk

Racing well recently. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at Moe Bm62 on January 25 over 1m, head behind Flag Flyer with 132lbs at $3.10. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside 0 - 66 on January 8 over 1m, long-neck behind Waco Kid with 127lbs at $6. Frustrating conveyance but gets every chance to break the run.

3rd Pick
7

Itsukushima

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Non Runner

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

109---16%11/2

Analysis

Racing well recently. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at Moe Bm62 on January 25 over 1m, head behind Flag Flyer with 132lbs at $3.10. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside 0 - 66 on January 8 over 1m, long-neck behind Waco Kid with 127lbs at $6. Frustrating conveyance but gets every chance to break the run.

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