AU - Caulfield - Race 9

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

5.5f

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

113.9K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

Competitive race. BOSTON ROCKS (6) came down from Sydney and won the Village Stakes very well over this route last start, coming clear to score by 1.75 lengths. It's worth noting Hedged was heavily backed to win the $1 million race at Cranbourne out of the Village Stakes. Boston Rocks sets up ideally from the gate here and can repeat the dose in a similar race. AVIATRESS (5) hit the line strongly first up in the G3 How Now Stakes to grab second. Would've loved her to draw a gate so she could land in the first handful, but she's good enough regardless. MAJOR SHARE (7) is going well, just missing over 5f in the Century Stakes at Flemington and now dropping 6lbs. 5 ½f is fine for him. No idea what to make of VESTAS (11) who was awful in the How Now when well backed, apparently not liking being around horses, which is tough in a horse race. Blinkers on here could be a key gear change, her best is good enough. GRAND LARCENY (10) next best.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.5 len at this track LR Caul Village November 15 over 5 ½f defeating Hedged carrying 119lbs at $7. The race before that 7th of 14 at Randwick Kosciuszko on October 18 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Clear Thinking carrying 127lbs at $13. Strong win last time, can go right on with it from the plum draw. 1st Pick 6 Boston Rocks Jockey: Michael Dee Trainer: Matthew Dale J: Michael Dee T: Matthew Dale	167	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.5 len at this track LR Caul Village November 15 over 5 ½f defeating Hedged carrying 119lbs at $7. The race before that 7th of 14 at Randwick Kosciuszko on October 18 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Clear Thinking carrying 127lbs at $13. Strong win last time, can go right on with it from the plum draw.
5	Racing second-up today. Last outing 2nd of 12 at this track in the G3 How Now on November 15 over 6f, nose behind Proved with 126lbs at $3.90. At only start last preparation 3rd of 13 at Morphettville in the LR Wh Wylie on September 13 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Watchme Win carrying 129lbs at $6. Talented mare who will be fitter with winning claims. 2nd Pick 5 Aviatress Jockey: Craig Williams Trainer: Richard & Chantelle Jolly J: Craig Williams T: Richard & Chantelle Jolly	125	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Racing second-up today. Last outing 2nd of 12 at this track in the G3 How Now on November 15 over 6f, nose behind Proved with 126lbs at $3.90. At only start last preparation 3rd of 13 at Morphettville in the LR Wh Wylie on September 13 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Watchme Win carrying 129lbs at $6. Talented mare who will be fitter with winning claims.
7	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 4th in a small field at Moonee Valley Qlty Hcp on October 25 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Beast Mode with 119lbs at $7.50. Last start 2nd of 11 at Flemington in the LR Century Stks on November 6 over 5f, neck behind Stokke carrying 126lbs at $9. Gets in very well, should be right there. 3rd Pick 7 Major Share Jockey: Tom Madden Trainer: Adam Chambers J: Tom Madden T: Adam Chambers	136	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 4th in a small field at Moonee Valley Qlty Hcp on October 25 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Beast Mode with 119lbs at $7.50. Last start 2nd of 11 at Flemington in the LR Century Stks on November 6 over 5f, neck behind Stokke carrying 126lbs at $9. Gets in very well, should be right there.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.