AU - Caulfield - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

9.9f

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

260.2K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

DIFFERENT GRAVY (1) is clearly the horse to beat. He was dominant winning at Listed level at Flemington during Cup week, settling a long way back but charging away to win by two lengths. He'll relish rising to 1 ¼m here with Zahra sticking and this won't take any more winning than last time. If there's a danger, it's CALL DA VINCI (3) who comes through the G2 Sandown Guineas won by Sheza Alibi, who put a space on her rivals. They went slowly in that race and Call Da Vinci was unsuited back in the field. His late sectionals were the third-fastest in the race and he should appreciate rising to 1 ¼m now. KALEO (2) beat Call Da Vinci home there albeit with a better run in transit. He's bred to stay and is an each way hope. BRAVE DANZA (4) tried hard behind Different Gravy last time and can stick on for another minor placing. GOLD TOPAZ (8) brings similar form and maps well.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 2 len at Flemington LR Batman Stks November 4 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Brave Danza carrying 126lbs at $4.40. The race before that 2nd of 11 at Morphettville in the LR Hill Smith on October 18 over 1m, nose behind Freedom Flame carrying 126lbs at $10. Huge win last time, might just be better than these. 1st Pick 1 Different Gravy Jockey: Mark Zahra Trainer: Henry Dwyer J: Mark Zahra T: Henry Dwyer	182	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 2 len at Flemington LR Batman Stks November 4 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Brave Danza carrying 126lbs at $4.40. The race before that 2nd of 11 at Morphettville in the LR Hill Smith on October 18 over 1m, nose behind Freedom Flame carrying 126lbs at $10. Huge win last time, might just be better than these.
3	At the latest run 5th of 10 at this track in the G2 Sand Gneas on November 15 over 1m, 7 len behind Sheza Alibi with 126lbs at $19. The race before that 5th of 8 at Flemington in the G3 Carbine Club on November 1 over 1m, 8 len behind Panova with 126lbs at $8. Suited to this rip now and sets up well. 2nd Pick 3 Call Da Vinci Jockey: Craig Williams Trainer: Bevan Laming J: Craig Williams T: Bevan Laming	172	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 10 at this track in the G2 Sand Gneas on November 15 over 1m, 7 len behind Sheza Alibi with 126lbs at $19. The race before that 5th of 8 at Flemington in the G3 Carbine Club on November 1 over 1m, 8 len behind Panova with 126lbs at $8. Suited to this rip now and sets up well.
2	Most recently 4th of 10 at this track in the G2 Sand Gneas on November 15 over 1m, 7 len behind Sheza Alibi with 126lbs at $15. The race before that 6th of 15 at Flemington in the LR Springtime Stak on November 4 over 7f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Burma Star carrying 120lbs at $91. Up in trip should suit, can figure. 3rd Pick 2 Kaleo Jockey: Ethan Brown Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Ethan Brown T: Ciaron Maher	135	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Most recently 4th of 10 at this track in the G2 Sand Gneas on November 15 over 1m, 7 len behind Sheza Alibi with 126lbs at $15. The race before that 6th of 15 at Flemington in the LR Springtime Stak on November 4 over 7f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Burma Star carrying 120lbs at $91. Up in trip should suit, can figure.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.