AU - Caulfield - Race 3

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

8.9f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

52.0K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

SKIPPERS CANYON (1) was first up off a break here over 1 ¹/16m and pulled out an enormous run to win, settling last and having plenty to do in the straight before picking up powerfully to win by a neck. He'll get over even further than this but should be fitter for that and might just be too good again for SIGIRIYA ROCK (10) who looked the winner before being run down late. Sigiriya Rock meets Skippers Canyon better at the weights but does draw wide again. If they push forward and look to slot in he can turn the tables. ENTRUSTING (7) appreciated rising to 1m last start at Bendigo with a smart win off a good tempo. He's always promised a bit and might be able to go on with it to 1 ?m. FULL HAO (15) tried hard after covering ground at Flemington last time behind a smart winner. With even luck from the inside she'll go close. ENCHANTED JENNI (12) is flying, this is harder but she's otherwise tough to knock.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Second run back. First-up after three months ran on strongly from last on the turn and won by a neck at this track Bm74 November 15 over 1 ¹/16m defeating Sigiriya Rock with 129lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 2nd of 13 at this track Bm74 on August 16 over 1m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Makdane with 128lbs at $3. Huge win fresh, will be very hard to hold out again. 1st Pick 1 Skippers Canyon Jockey: Logan Bates Trainer: Phillip Stokes J: Logan Bates T: Phillip Stokes	152	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after three months ran on strongly from last on the turn and won by a neck at this track Bm74 November 15 over 1 ¹/16m defeating Sigiriya Rock with 129lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 2nd of 13 at this track Bm74 on August 16 over 1m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Makdane with 128lbs at $3. Huge win fresh, will be very hard to hold out again.
10	Most recently 2nd of 11 at this track Bm74 on November 15 over 1 ¹/16m, neck behind Skippers Canyon with 128lbs at $4.20. Before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Geelong Bm70 October 23 over 1 ¹/16m in soft going defeating Albanian I Am carrying 127lbs at $3. Going well and will take beating with any luck. 2nd Pick 10 Sigiriya Rock Jockey: Ben Melham Trainer: Chris Waller J: Ben Melham T: Chris Waller	135	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Most recently 2nd of 11 at this track Bm74 on November 15 over 1 ¹/16m, neck behind Skippers Canyon with 128lbs at $4.20. Before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Geelong Bm70 October 23 over 1 ¹/16m in soft going defeating Albanian I Am carrying 127lbs at $3. Going well and will take beating with any luck.
7	Comes off a 31 day let-up. Last start won by 0.5 len at Bendigo Bm70 October 29 over 1m defeating Masterful with 129lbs at $7.50. Before that 6th of 14 at Bendigo Bm66 on October 5 over 7 ½f, 5 len behind Sister Shay with 133lbs at $17. Can go on with it, especially over this trip. 3rd Pick 7 Entrusting Jockey: Michael Dee Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Michael Dee T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	107	-	-	-	5%	20/1
Analysis Comes off a 31 day let-up. Last start won by 0.5 len at Bendigo Bm70 October 29 over 1m defeating Masterful with 129lbs at $7.50. Before that 6th of 14 at Bendigo Bm66 on October 5 over 7 ½f, 5 len behind Sister Shay with 133lbs at $17. Can go on with it, especially over this trip.

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