AU - Caulfield - Race 1

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

11.9f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

84.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

BLACK RUN (2) looks the one to beat again. He was well ridden by Tom Marquand to win at Randwick two back and measured up here last time, taking a sit behind the leader but getting a gap and coming away to win well. This doesn't look any harder and he'll take plenty of catching again. ZIRYAB (4) is an interesting one. His form this time in is better than the form guide reads. Fancy he was unsuited despite racing close to a slow speed last time, out sprinted after coming through a pair of fast races. Now gets to 1 ½m fourth up and Zahra sticks. WONDER KID (5) was solid with 134lbs two back behind Zambardo which reads well before striking a very heavy track at Kyneton. Can forgive that, look for improvement. The consistent TIKEMYSON (8) was good behind Black Run last time and has claims to turn the tables down in the weights. GENRICHERO (11) is through the same form and a place hope.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Racing well recently. Last start favourite, won by 0.8 len at this track Bm80 November 15 over 1 ½m defeating Tikemyson with 130lbs at $3.60. Before that favourite, won by a nose at Randwick Bm78 November 1 over 1 ¼m on a rain affected track defeating Glad You Think So carrying 126lbs at $13. Flying, should be hard to run down again. 1st Pick 2 Black Run Jockey: Ryan Houston Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald J: Ryan Houston T: Annabel & Rob Archibald	166	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start favourite, won by 0.8 len at this track Bm80 November 15 over 1 ½m defeating Tikemyson with 130lbs at $3.60. Before that favourite, won by a nose at Randwick Bm78 November 1 over 1 ¼m on a rain affected track defeating Glad You Think So carrying 126lbs at $13. Flying, should be hard to run down again.
4	At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 at Flemington 4yo+ Bm90 on November 6 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Al Duca carrying 127lbs at $10. The run before that 9th of 12 at Sandown-Hillside Hcp on September 27 over 1m, 9 len behind Charterhouse carrying 119lbs at $7.50. Has been racing well. Gets to the right trip now, suspect he goes close. 2nd Pick 4 Ziryab Jockey: Mark Zahra Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Mark Zahra T: Ciaron Maher	133	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 at Flemington 4yo+ Bm90 on November 6 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Al Duca carrying 127lbs at $10. The run before that 9th of 12 at Sandown-Hillside Hcp on September 27 over 1m, 9 len behind Charterhouse carrying 119lbs at $7.50. Has been racing well. Gets to the right trip now, suspect he goes close.
5	Most recently 5th of 8 at Kyneton Kyne Cup on November 5 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 15 len behind Lincoln Rocks with 119lbs at $4.60. The run before that 5th of 10 at this track Bm78 on October 15 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Zambardo carrying 134lbs at $21. Forgive last one, he can bounce back. 3rd Pick 5 Wonder Kid Jockey: Ethan Brown Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Ethan Brown T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	159	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Most recently 5th of 8 at Kyneton Kyne Cup on November 5 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 15 len behind Lincoln Rocks with 119lbs at $4.60. The run before that 5th of 10 at this track Bm78 on October 15 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Zambardo carrying 134lbs at $21. Forgive last one, he can bounce back.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.