AU - Ballarat - Race 6

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Benchmark

Synthetic

GOOD

17.7K

VIEW

Verdict

PRINCESS TORO (6) can bounce back here third up. The first up run at Cranbourne was good in a handy Class 1 before struggling on soft going at Geelong. It wouldn't surprise to see her take well to the synthetic. HOT ONE (11) was in the market but struggled badly at Echuca last out. Her form prior, including a maiden win, was rock solid and she can improve. RYANMAN (2) is coming off a solid maiden win at Werribee as favourite, scoring at her sixth start. Should land in a handy spot from the low gate and take catching. COMMAND ORDER (1) resumes for a new yard. He may need further than this but has some ability and wouldn't shock. RUSSIAN SUMMER (9) was better here last time and has claims.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at Cranbourne Cl1 on May 23 over 6 ½f, 1.5 len behind Highlands carrying 125lbs at $2.90. Second run from a spell raced on the pace before fading 11th of 14 at Geelong Bm58 on June 20 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Onlygoldwilldo with 131lbs at $3.50. Promising galloper. Can bounce back. 1st Pick 6 Princess Toro Jockey: Fred W Kersley Trainer: Archie Alexander J: Fred W Kersley T: Archie Alexander	142	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at Cranbourne Cl1 on May 23 over 6 ½f, 1.5 len behind Highlands carrying 125lbs at $2.90. Second run from a spell raced on the pace before fading 11th of 14 at Geelong Bm58 on June 20 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Onlygoldwilldo with 131lbs at $3.50. Promising galloper. Can bounce back.
11	At the latest run 9th of 12 at Echuca 0 - 58 on June 22 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 10 len behind Smoke 'N' Oakum with 128lbs at $2.90. The race before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.9 len at Corowa Mdn-Sw May 19 over 7f defeating Pride Of Jezza carrying 126lbs at $1.55. Give one more chance. 2nd Pick 11 Hot One Jockey: Lachlan King Trainer: Ben Brisbourne J: Lachlan King T: Ben Brisbourne	118	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis At the latest run 9th of 12 at Echuca 0 - 58 on June 22 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 10 len behind Smoke 'N' Oakum with 128lbs at $2.90. The race before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.9 len at Corowa Mdn-Sw May 19 over 7f defeating Pride Of Jezza carrying 126lbs at $1.55. Give one more chance.
2	Form hard to fault. Returns from a 34-day let-up. Last start favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.3 len at Werribee Mdn-Sw May 31 over 7f defeating Heez De Man carrying 131lbs at $2.40. The run before that rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 7 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on May 20 over 7 ¼f, slow going 1.75 len behind Vaafee with 131lbs at $2.80. Capable of taking the next step now. 3rd Pick 2 Ryanman Jockey: Amy Herrmann Trainer: Michael & Luke Cerchi J: Amy Herrmann T: Michael & Luke Cerchi	96	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Returns from a 34-day let-up. Last start favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.3 len at Werribee Mdn-Sw May 31 over 7f defeating Heez De Man carrying 131lbs at $2.40. The run before that rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 7 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on May 20 over 7 ¼f, slow going 1.75 len behind Vaafee with 131lbs at $2.80. Capable of taking the next step now.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.