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4:30 AM

AU - Ballarat - Race 4

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
7f
Maiden
Synthetic
STANDARD
17.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

EN FLIQUE (4) continues to race very well, just finding one better at her past three starts. First try on a synthetic surface but seems fairly adaptable and will be hard to hold out. CHAMPAGNE WISHES (3) was just fair on heavy going at Wangaratta last time out but had been good on resumption and firmer footing will suit. Takes catching. MADAM MOSSMAN (6) is a filly by National Defense on debut. Wouldn't shock entirely. LOWESTOFT (5) is a filly by Shamus Award on debut and finds a winnable race. VILA MOON (9) is third-up and dropping 1f in trip. Did a good job to finish third first-up but followed that up with a very disappointing tenth over 1m at Swan Hill last time. Can atone.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
The Boss Man silk

Third race start today. At debut, rolled along in front then was edged out late 3rd of 8 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 11 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Wash Ya Mouth Out carrying 128lbs at $8.50. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Pakenham Synthetic Mdn-Sw on June 30 over 7f, 2.5 len behind La Belle Grande with 131lbs at $4.20. Capable of a better showing. Rates well.

1st Pick
2

The Boss Man

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Lindsey Smith

J: Non Runner

T: Lindsey Smith

135---29%

Scratched

Analysis

Third race start today. At debut, rolled along in front then was edged out late 3rd of 8 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 11 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Wash Ya Mouth Out carrying 128lbs at $8.50. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Pakenham Synthetic Mdn-Sw on June 30 over 7f, 2.5 len behind La Belle Grande with 131lbs at $4.20. Capable of a better showing. Rates well.

4
En Flique silk

Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 12 at Wangaratta Mdn-Sw on June 15 over 6 ½f, on a wet track, neck behind Touxlove carrying 127lbs at $2.80. The race before that 2nd of 9 at Echuca 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 3 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Vianarra with 123lbs at $3.90. Can break through.

2nd Pick
4

En Flique

Jockey: Lachlan King

Trainer: Ben Brisbourne

J: Lachlan King

T: Ben Brisbourne

174---40%6/4

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 12 at Wangaratta Mdn-Sw on June 15 over 6 ½f, on a wet track, neck behind Touxlove carrying 127lbs at $2.80. The race before that 2nd of 9 at Echuca 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 3 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Vianarra with 123lbs at $3.90. Can break through.

3
Champagne Wishes silk

Third-up today. First-up 4th of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 22 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Fiery Deal with 127lbs at $12. Second-up struggled in the run home, 6th of 12 at Wangaratta Mdn-Sw on June 15 over 6 ½f, in the wet, 7 len behind Touxlove with 127lbs at $7. Profiles nicely. Fitter and can improve.

3rd Pick
3

Champagne Wishes

Jockey: Linda Meech

Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

J: Linda Meech

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

155---16%11/2

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 4th of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 22 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Fiery Deal with 127lbs at $12. Second-up struggled in the run home, 6th of 12 at Wangaratta Mdn-Sw on June 15 over 6 ½f, in the wet, 7 len behind Touxlove with 127lbs at $7. Profiles nicely. Fitter and can improve.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.