NZ - Riccarton - Race 9

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

9.9f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.1K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

DON PAULY (1) got a mile out of his ground here 11 days ago, and ran on powerfully late wide out to finish fourth. He slides down in class and is the one to beat this time. AISHITERU (18) battled on bravely over a mile when making her debut at Tauherenikau nearly 5 weeks ago. She steps straight up to a middle distance for her second start, which is a good sign from her stable, and despite copping a wide gate, she can figure in the top 4 again. TAIMATE STAAR (16) had to work too hard to find a prominent spot here last time out, and she failed to finish her run off. She has a superior gate this time and will be ridden more quietly here, so tick with her. Each way value. PRIVATE TREATY (14) is still a maiden, but BM60 grade racing is not much harder, and he recent form is good enough for her to be an each-way threat again. MOUNTAIN OF LIGHT (3) just peaked on his run late when resuming from a spell here 3 weeks ago. He strips fitter and won't be far away. Each way.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Last start 4th of 18 at this track on January 24 over 1m, on heavy track, 3.5 len behind Flamboyance carrying 127lbs at $8.50. The start before that 6th of 17 at this track on January 14 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Akenehi with 127lbs at $10.20. Capable enough on his day and is one of the major players. 1st Pick 1 Don Pauly Jockey: Darren Danis Trainer: Terri Rae J: Darren Danis T: Terri Rae	98	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Last start 4th of 18 at this track on January 24 over 1m, on heavy track, 3.5 len behind Flamboyance carrying 127lbs at $8.50. The start before that 6th of 17 at this track on January 14 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Akenehi with 127lbs at $10.20. Capable enough on his day and is one of the major players.
18	Dual acceptor. At debut, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Tauherenikau on January 2 over 1m, slow going 2.75 len behind Wigmore with 122lbs at $6.30. Has ability and a bold showing is on the cards. 2nd Pick 18 Aishiteru Jockey: Bruno Queiroz Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Bruno Queiroz T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	83	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. At debut, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Tauherenikau on January 2 over 1m, slow going 2.75 len behind Wigmore with 122lbs at $6.30. Has ability and a bold showing is on the cards.
16	At the latest run raced behind the speed prior to fading 9th of 13 at this track on January 14 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 14 len behind Rollins carrying 125lbs at $7.30. The run before that 3rd of 11 at Ashburton on December 24 over 1m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Henry Thomas carrying 125lbs at $3.10. Looks ready to return to form. 3rd Pick 16 Taimate Staar Jockey: Bruno Queiroz Trainer: Andrew Carston J: Bruno Queiroz T: Andrew Carston	76	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis At the latest run raced behind the speed prior to fading 9th of 13 at this track on January 14 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 14 len behind Rollins carrying 125lbs at $7.30. The run before that 3rd of 11 at Ashburton on December 24 over 1m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Henry Thomas carrying 125lbs at $3.10. Looks ready to return to form.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.