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3:30 AM

NZ - Riccarton - Race 7

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
5.5f
Unknown
Turf
GOOD 4
15.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

INSATIABLE (3) has not won for some time, but all of her 4 starts this season have been full of merit, including a brave effort for second at Trentham just over 7 weeks ago. Dropping back to 5 ½f off a freshen up will do her no harm, and with the advantage of the pole position, she can go one better. GEMMA FLITZ (2) was a star poly track performer here last prep when winning all of her 3 starts on that surface here. She resumes without a public trial, but she can't be taken lightly. MALMAISON (9) has yet to hit her straps this season, and her best effort was a narrow defeat in her penultimate start at Timaru. Bruno Queiroz sticks with her, and so do we. CANDLE (5) tried hard in Stakes company here 11 days ago. Stick with her. Each way.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Insatiable silk

Form hard to fault. Comes off a 52 day let-up. At the latest run 2nd of 12 at Trentham on December 14 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Reward Smile with 119lbs at $11.40. Before that 3rd of 11 at this track in the LR Steward's Stakes on November 15 over 6f, on rain affected going, 1.75 len behind Inflamed carrying 117lbs at $7.50. Will take plenty of beating.

1st Pick
3

Insatiable

Jockey: Triston Moodley

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Triston Moodley

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

78---25%3/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Comes off a 52 day let-up. At the latest run 2nd of 12 at Trentham on December 14 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Reward Smile with 119lbs at $11.40. Before that 3rd of 11 at this track in the LR Steward's Stakes on November 15 over 6f, on rain affected going, 1.75 len behind Inflamed carrying 117lbs at $7.50. Will take plenty of beating.

4
Texas Dolly silk

Last start 12th of 14 at this track in the LR Timaru Stakes on January 24 over 6f, on rain affected going, 9 len behind Pour The Wine with 117lbs at $6.70. The run before that won by 1.5 len at this track January 14 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Spartan with 127lbs at $4. Prepared to overlook that last run, expecting sharp improvement.

2nd Pick
4

Texas Dolly

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Terri Rae

J: Non Runner

T: Terri Rae

106---19%

Scratched

Analysis

Last start 12th of 14 at this track in the LR Timaru Stakes on January 24 over 6f, on rain affected going, 9 len behind Pour The Wine with 117lbs at $6.70. The run before that won by 1.5 len at this track January 14 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Spartan with 127lbs at $4. Prepared to overlook that last run, expecting sharp improvement.

2
Gemma Flitz silk

Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign won by neck Riccarton Park Synthetic August 21 over 6f defeating Dimaggio carrying 128lbs at $1.80. Previous preparation first-up favourite, won by 1.5 len Riccarton Park Synthetic July 24 over 6f defeating Delphillius carrying 123lbs at $1.40. Form shown last campaign makes for good reading.

3rd Pick
2

Gemma Flitz

Jockey: Donovan Cooper

Trainer: Ross Beckett

J: Donovan Cooper

T: Ross Beckett

72---19%9/2

Analysis

Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign won by neck Riccarton Park Synthetic August 21 over 6f defeating Dimaggio carrying 128lbs at $1.80. Previous preparation first-up favourite, won by 1.5 len Riccarton Park Synthetic July 24 over 6f defeating Delphillius carrying 123lbs at $1.40. Form shown last campaign makes for good reading.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.