NZ - Riccarton - Race 4

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.1K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

CONTEMPLATION BAY (3) was a beaten favourite fresh up in her first run for the Terri Re stable after not stretching out at all on a heavy surface here 11 days ago. She is so much better than that, and on a firmer surface, she can turn that run right around to win this. Follow your money. MISS EMERALD (7) has posted back-to-back wins here in BM65 company off a pair of wide gates, and with 6lbs to carry here, the hat-trick beckons. POGACAR (5) tried hard on a heavy track when resuming in the same race as the top pick, finishing seventh. He won fresh up in the spring and will be close to that sort of form here. Stick with him. SUPER ROSA (6) set up a strong pace and was given no peace at Reefton 4 weeks ago, but she was still too strong, holding on by a nose. She is still on the up with her fitness, and even in a field with more depth, she can figure in the top 3 again. RICHIE'S DREAM (8) has needed all of her 3 starts this season, and should now be ready to show some decent form.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Second run back. First-up after two months ran last of 10 at this track on January 24 over 7f, on rain affected going, 11 len behind Graeme John carrying 128lbs at $3.40. Previously second-up 3rd of 12 at this track on October 25 over 7f, neck behind Spot On Time carrying 119lbs at $16.50. Will take a lot from that run and looks tough to beat. 1st Pick 3 Contemplation Bay Jockey: Leah Hemi Trainer: Terri Rae J: Leah Hemi T: Terri Rae	165	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after two months ran last of 10 at this track on January 24 over 7f, on rain affected going, 11 len behind Graeme John carrying 128lbs at $3.40. Previously second-up 3rd of 12 at this track on October 25 over 7f, neck behind Spot On Time carrying 119lbs at $16.50. Will take a lot from that run and looks tough to beat.
7	Recent form sound. Last start won by 0.7 len at this track January 24 over 7f in heavy going defeating Pure Artist carrying 126lbs at $5.80. The start before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a nose at this track January 14 over 7f on a soft track defeating Hivari carrying 121lbs at $9.30. In great form and can go on with it. 2nd Pick 7 Miss Emerald Jockey: Donovan Cooper Trainer: Lance Robinson J: Donovan Cooper T: Lance Robinson	130	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start won by 0.7 len at this track January 24 over 7f in heavy going defeating Pure Artist carrying 126lbs at $5.80. The start before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a nose at this track January 14 over 7f on a soft track defeating Hivari carrying 121lbs at $9.30. In great form and can go on with it.
5	Having second run back today. Last outing settled back and ran on when 7th of 10 at this track on January 24 over 7f, in the wet, 5 len behind Graeme John with 125lbs at $10.10. At only start last preparation tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.8 len at Ashburton October 11 over 7f defeating Nuncio with 128lbs at $8.80. Will take a lot from that run and looks tough to beat. 3rd Pick 5 Pogacar Jockey: Brandon May Trainer: Ross Beckett J: Brandon May T: Ross Beckett	93	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Having second run back today. Last outing settled back and ran on when 7th of 10 at this track on January 24 over 7f, in the wet, 5 len behind Graeme John with 125lbs at $10.10. At only start last preparation tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.8 len at Ashburton October 11 over 7f defeating Nuncio with 128lbs at $8.80. Will take a lot from that run and looks tough to beat.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.