NZ - Riccarton - Race 11

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

21.1K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

PROFESSIONAL LAD (1) was G3 placed in the spring, and after a freshen up that did him the world of good, he was far too strong as an odds-on favourite in a modest maiden field here 11 days ago, cruising home by nearly 5 lengths. He can take the next step immediately. KIWI MAGIC (11) peaked on his run late here 11 days ago over 1 ?m on a track that was heavier than he prefers. He will be a lot sharper for this, and he will give the top pick plenty to think about. Can win. QUEEN OF NAPLES (10) caught the eye with a big late finish for third here 3 weeks ago, and could be on her way back to the good form that she showed earlier in her career. She cops another wide gate, but can figure in the top 3 again. Stick with her. PURPLE PROSE (17) was a beaten favourite here last time out over 7f when settling too far back early on. He was doing his best work late that day, and will be spot on third up over a mile. Follow your money. VILLASANTI (6) was an overdue maiden winner last start.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Second run back. First-up after two months favourite, came home strongly from last on the turn and scored a big 5 len win at this track January 24 over 7f on a heavy track defeating Fah Rong with 126lbs at $1.50. Previously second-up 2nd of 9 at this track on September 27 over 7f, long-neck behind Miss Ziggy carrying 123lbs at $4.80. Great chance to make it two in a row. Worth following up. 1st Pick 1 Professional Lad Jockey: Leah Hemi Trainer: Terri Rae J: Leah Hemi T: Terri Rae	242	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Second run back. First-up after two months favourite, came home strongly from last on the turn and scored a big 5 len win at this track January 24 over 7f on a heavy track defeating Fah Rong with 126lbs at $1.50. Previously second-up 2nd of 9 at this track on September 27 over 7f, long-neck behind Miss Ziggy carrying 123lbs at $4.80. Great chance to make it two in a row. Worth following up.
11	At the latest run 7th of 18 at this track on January 24 over 1m, on a wet track, 8 len behind Flamboyance carrying 126lbs at $9.80. The race before that 13th of 16 at Wingatui on December 26 over 1m, slow going 8 len behind Southern Country with 128lbs at $11. Nicely placed and looks sure to feature. 2nd Pick 11 Kiwi Magic Jockey: Tina Comignaghi Trainer: John & Karen Parsons J: Tina Comignaghi T: John & Karen Parsons	120	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis At the latest run 7th of 18 at this track on January 24 over 1m, on a wet track, 8 len behind Flamboyance carrying 126lbs at $9.80. The race before that 13th of 16 at Wingatui on December 26 over 1m, slow going 8 len behind Southern Country with 128lbs at $11. Nicely placed and looks sure to feature.
10	Last start 3rd of 17 at this track on January 14 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Akenehi carrying 127lbs at $4.80. The run before that 6th of 14 at Phar Lap Racecourse on December 28 over 1m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Blue Goddess carrying 130lbs at $7.60. Can improve again. Well placed and sure to be in the finish. 3rd Pick 10 Queen Of Naples Jockey: Triston Moodley Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Triston Moodley T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	135	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Last start 3rd of 17 at this track on January 14 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Akenehi carrying 127lbs at $4.80. The run before that 6th of 14 at Phar Lap Racecourse on December 28 over 1m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Blue Goddess carrying 130lbs at $7.60. Can improve again. Well placed and sure to be in the finish.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.