NZ - Otaki - Race 2

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

14.6K

VIEW

Verdict

CARTER JOHN (1) got too far back from a wide gate when running on too late as the favourite at Trentham nearly 3 weeks ago, finishing seventh. He cops another wide gate, but will find this easier, and he can make amends. Follow your money. STEADFAST (9) won the most recent of his 3 public trials this season, and he is in the right stable to make a positive start to his career. Check the market. GOSSIP (10) led up, and after giving a good kick on the turn, she was run down late, finishing fifth as a short-priced favourite. She has a tough gate, but on her home track, she is worth another chance. PERLINO (14) ran on late when finishing seventh on debut at Te Aroha over 7f. She will relish getting out to a mile and will win a race at short notice. DARK AND DUSTY (2) flew home late to finish third fresh up at Trentham 12 days ago. He will relish the extra 1f and can have the last say this time.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Most recently got back early 7th of 12 at Trentham on December 6 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Girl Talk with 126lbs at $3.80. The start before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Wanganui on November 29 over 1m, slow going nose behind Croix De Guerre carrying 129lbs at $4.30. Better than that and is one of the major players. 1st Pick 1 Carter John Jockey: Kate Hercock Trainer: David Haworth J: Kate Hercock T: David Haworth	156	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Most recently got back early 7th of 12 at Trentham on December 6 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Girl Talk with 126lbs at $3.80. The start before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Wanganui on November 29 over 1m, slow going nose behind Croix De Guerre carrying 129lbs at $4.30. Better than that and is one of the major players.
9	Gelding by Eminent on debut. Won a Woodville trial over 6f on December 2. Expected to be in the finish. 2nd Pick 9 Steadfast Jockey: Jack Taplin Trainer: Kevin Myers J: Jack Taplin T: Kevin Myers	78	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Gelding by Eminent on debut. Won a Woodville trial over 6f on December 2. Expected to be in the finish.
10	Third-up today. Resuming raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 at New Plymouth Raceway on November 21 over 7f, on a slow track, neck behind Justice For All carrying 127lbs at $2.70. Last start led to the turn then faded 5th of 11 at Tauherenikau on December 10 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Unusual Invader with 125lbs at $2.50. This looks the ideal assignment. 3rd Pick 10 Gossip Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Johno Benner J: Non Runner T: Johno Benner	206	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 at New Plymouth Raceway on November 21 over 7f, on a slow track, neck behind Justice For All carrying 127lbs at $2.70. Last start led to the turn then faded 5th of 11 at Tauherenikau on December 10 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Unusual Invader with 125lbs at $2.50. This looks the ideal assignment.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.