NZH - Otaki - Race 4

Harness

8 Runners

9.9f

Unknown

Turf

6.5K

VIEW

Verdict

MAJOR BREAK (4) was in the money two runs ago then was about the mark again last time over 1 ¼m at this track, finishing 1.4 metres from the winner in second. Meets some better types this time but a well-deserved win is not out of the question. SWEET SPIRIT (7) drew wide last start and was easily accounted for, beaten 14 metres into sixth at Manawatu over 1 ¼m. Must overcome another very wide draw. Meets a similar line up and she can figure in the finish. SHOWTYM GIRL (2) is worth plenty of thought off a last-start win by 2.75 metres at Cambridge Raceway over 1 ?m. MESSENGER BUOY (6) must be considered after he finished runner-up over 1 ?m at Cambridge Raceway two-and-a-half weeks ago.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Fair run when beaten by 5.5 m finishing third behind Commander Lincoln at Cambridge Raceway over 1m in a 3yo+ on December 19 at $3.90. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.4 m finishing second behind Megyn Kelly at this track over 1 ¼m on January 6 at $7.30. Leading chance again. 1st Pick 4 Major Break Jockey: Peter Ferguson Trainer: Jason Teaz J: Peter Ferguson T: Jason Teaz	77	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Fair run when beaten by 5.5 m finishing third behind Commander Lincoln at Cambridge Raceway over 1m in a 3yo+ on December 19 at $3.90. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.4 m finishing second behind Megyn Kelly at this track over 1 ¼m on January 6 at $7.30. Leading chance again.
7	Recent efforts haven't been up to her best. Last start 6th (Fr7) over 1 ¼m at Manawatu beaten 14 m by Fredastaire (2:31.20) in 2yo+ on December 12 at $10.90. At the previous start 5th (Fr4) over 1 ¼m at Manawatu beaten 22 m by Cracker Rock (2:29.30) in 2yo+ on December 10 at $6.10. This looks a suitable assignment. 2nd Pick 7 Sweet Spirit Jockey: Harrison Orange Trainer: Michael House J: Harrison Orange T: Michael House	76	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Recent efforts haven't been up to her best. Last start 6th (Fr7) over 1 ¼m at Manawatu beaten 14 m by Fredastaire (2:31.20) in 2yo+ on December 12 at $10.90. At the previous start 5th (Fr4) over 1 ¼m at Manawatu beaten 22 m by Cracker Rock (2:29.30) in 2yo+ on December 10 at $6.10. This looks a suitable assignment.
2	In good form recently. Last start won by 2.75 m as favourite (Fr2) at Cambridge Raceway (2:41.80) beating Reet Petite in 3yo+ on January 9 at $1.50. Likely to be in the finish again. 3rd Pick 2 Showtym Girl Jockey: Andre Poutama Trainer: Nicky Chilcott J: Andre Poutama T: Nicky Chilcott	76	-	-	-	23%	Scratched
Analysis In good form recently. Last start won by 2.75 m as favourite (Fr2) at Cambridge Raceway (2:41.80) beating Reet Petite in 3yo+ on January 9 at $1.50. Likely to be in the finish again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.