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6:10 AM

AU - Flemington MCC - Race 8

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
9.9f
OPEN
Turf
GOOD 4
1949.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Impossible to go past champion mare VIA SISTINA (10) coming off her second Cox Plate win. It may not have been as dominant as last year but she was still excellent when covering more ground than any of her rivals. She won this easily last year and should be doing so again. Don't mind PIER (6) as the exacta horse. He's been excellent this time in, chasing home Autumn Glow in the Epsom when fifth before acquitting himself very well in the King Charles for third. He got a good run there but kept coming on the line, suggesting 1 ¼m would suit ideally. TOM KITTEN (1) ran on well from too far back in the King Charles and is proven at this trip having placed to Via in a QEII in the Autumn. He should run very well. ATTRITION (4) is a ripper, he kept trying for fourth in the Cox Plate last time. Doubt he has the class to win, but he can land in the first few and run a placing. LIGHT INFANTRY MAN (2) stuck on quite well in the Cox Plate and can do so again here.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Via Sistina silk

Form hard to fault. At the latest run favourite, won by a nose at Moonee Valley G1 Cox Plate October 25 over 1 ¼m defeating Buckaroo carrying 126lbs at $2.25. The run before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track in the G1 Turnbull on October 4 over 1 ¼m, 2.25 len behind Sir Delius carrying 126lbs at $2.60. Champion mare who should be winning again.

1st Pick
10

Via Sistina

Jockey: James Mcdonald

Trainer: Chris Waller

J: James Mcdonald

T: Chris Waller

247---62%8/13

Analysis

Form hard to fault. At the latest run favourite, won by a nose at Moonee Valley G1 Cox Plate October 25 over 1 ¼m defeating Buckaroo carrying 126lbs at $2.25. The run before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 14 at this track in the G1 Turnbull on October 4 over 1 ¼m, 2.25 len behind Sir Delius carrying 126lbs at $2.60. Champion mare who should be winning again.

6
Pier silk

Most recently made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Randwick in the G1 King Charlesiii on October 18 over 1m, 2 len behind Ceolwulf with 130lbs at $51. Before that crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 5th of 12 at Randwick in the G1 Epsom on October 4 over 1m, 3 len behind Autumn Glow carrying 119lbs at $11. He's flying and 1 ¼m should suit now.

2nd Pick
6

Pier

Jockey: Ethan Brown

Trainer: Darryn & Briar Weatherley

J: Ethan Brown

T: Darryn & Briar Weatherley

108---8%12/1

Analysis

Most recently made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Randwick in the G1 King Charlesiii on October 18 over 1m, 2 len behind Ceolwulf with 130lbs at $51. Before that crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 5th of 12 at Randwick in the G1 Epsom on October 4 over 1m, 3 len behind Autumn Glow carrying 119lbs at $11. He's flying and 1 ¼m should suit now.

1
Tom Kitten silk

At the latest run 5th of 12 at Randwick in the G1 King Charlesiii on October 18 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Ceolwulf with 130lbs at $26. The run before that got back early 4th in a small field at Moonee Valley in the G2 Feehan on September 26 over 1m, 6 len behind Pride Of Jenni with 130lbs at $7.50. Much better last time and 1 ¼m should suit now.

3rd Pick
1

Tom Kitten

Jockey: Ben Melham

Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman

J: Ben Melham

T: Anthony & Sam Freedman

108---11%17/2

Analysis

At the latest run 5th of 12 at Randwick in the G1 King Charlesiii on October 18 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Ceolwulf with 130lbs at $26. The run before that got back early 4th in a small field at Moonee Valley in the G2 Feehan on September 26 over 1m, 6 len behind Pride Of Jenni with 130lbs at $7.50. Much better last time and 1 ¼m should suit now.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.