AU - Flemington MCC - Race 5

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

12.9f

Unknown

Turf

GOOD 4

194.9K

VIEW

Verdict

BIRDMAN (1) has to give these all weight but brings the class form having run on well for sixth in the Caulfield Cup last time out behind Cups double champ Half Yours. The run prior in The Metropolitan was also very good when too far back and McDonald on here is a huge positive. STAR OF INDIA (7) improved nicely third up to win the JRA Cup, finishing strongly off a fast pace to win well. 1 ?m is some query but he's out of two fast races that give him a nice platform. BERKELEY SQUARE (2) is going well without winning. The run two back in the G3 Bart Cummings in a fast race reads well and the draw looks to suit. SCARY (14) was much better in the G2 Moonee Valley Cup last time out and has claims off that. SAYEDATY SADATY (3) has the ideal run to win the Bendigo Cup last time but draws to effect again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Most recently 6th of 18 at Caulfield in the G1 Caul Cup on October 18 over 1 ½m, 3 len behind Half Yours with 116lbs at $21. The run before that 7th of 18 at Randwick in the G1 The Metrop on October 4 over 1 ½m, 2.5 len behind Royal Supremacy with 114lbs at $7. Brings the class form. 1st Pick 1 Birdman Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: Chris Waller J: James Mcdonald T: Chris Waller	158	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Most recently 6th of 18 at Caulfield in the G1 Caul Cup on October 18 over 1 ½m, 3 len behind Half Yours with 116lbs at $21. The run before that 7th of 18 at Randwick in the G1 The Metrop on October 4 over 1 ½m, 2.5 len behind Royal Supremacy with 114lbs at $7. Brings the class form.
7	Last start won by 1.5 len at Moonee Valley G3 Jra Cup October 25 over 1 ¼m defeating Alenquer carrying 120lbs at $11. The race before that 6th of 12 at Sandown-Hillside Hcp on September 27 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Charterhouse carrying 125lbs at $31. Big win last time, tipping he can go on with it. 2nd Pick 7 Star Of India Jockey: Mark Zahra Trainer: Chris Waller J: Mark Zahra T: Chris Waller	113	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Last start won by 1.5 len at Moonee Valley G3 Jra Cup October 25 over 1 ¼m defeating Alenquer carrying 120lbs at $11. The race before that 6th of 12 at Sandown-Hillside Hcp on September 27 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Charterhouse carrying 125lbs at $31. Big win last time, tipping he can go on with it.
2	Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 8 at Geelong in the G3 Geel Cup on October 23 over 1 ½m, slow going 0.9 len behind Torranzino carrying 128lbs at $7. Before that 4th of 16 at this track in the G3 Bart Cummings on October 4 over 1/16m, 3.5 len behind Valiant King with 130lbs at $31. Going very well, should take beating. 3rd Pick 2 Berkeley Square Jockey: Luke Nolen Trainer: Dan O'sullivan J: Luke Nolen T: Dan O'sullivan	110	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 8 at Geelong in the G3 Geel Cup on October 23 over 1 ½m, slow going 0.9 len behind Torranzino carrying 128lbs at $7. Before that 4th of 16 at this track in the G3 Bart Cummings on October 4 over 1/16m, 3.5 len behind Valiant King with 130lbs at $31. Going very well, should take beating.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.