AU - Flemington MCC - Race 4

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

9.9f

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

194.9K

VIEW

Verdict

Does look a race in two between the Tesio Stakes quinella. SHE'S A HUSTLER (5) won that race with a strong performance, sitting on speed and kicking clear to win well. She was well weighted there and is up to 126lbs now but she's a mare with plenty of upside and she can improve again. SEA WHAT I SEE (6) tried hard behind She's A Hustler there and now meets her 13lbs better off at the weights for a 1.3 length defeat. She's got a great record herself and looks the clear danger again. Wary of ALALCANCE (1) who resumes. She only had one run last time in and was well beaten with 134lbs in a Wyong Cup having looked very progressive in the Autumn. The late market will be key to her chances. BLINDEDBYTHELIGHT (12) was good in the Tesio when making ground for fifth. She's on the up and should run well. MOVIN OUT (10) needs to find her best, if they run along in front it'll help her settle.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up ran on from midfield and won by 1.0 len at this track Mares Bm78 September 21 over 1m defeating Morrissette with 133lbs at $2.40. Second-up won by 1.3 len at Moonee Valley G3 Tesio Stks October 25 over 1 ¼m defeating Sea What I See with 119lbs at $3.80. Has upside and can make it three in a row. 1st Pick 5 She's A Hustler Jockey: Jordan Childs Trainer: Grahame Begg J: Jordan Childs T: Grahame Begg	162	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up ran on from midfield and won by 1.0 len at this track Mares Bm78 September 21 over 1m defeating Morrissette with 133lbs at $2.40. Second-up won by 1.3 len at Moonee Valley G3 Tesio Stks October 25 over 1 ¼m defeating Sea What I See with 119lbs at $3.80. Has upside and can make it three in a row.
6	At the latest run 2nd of 11 at Moonee Valley in the G3 Tesio Stks on October 25 over 1 ¼m, 1.3 len behind She's A Hustler carrying 128lbs at $11. The start before that 5th of 12 at Caulfield in the G3 L/Day Vase on October 11 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Oh Too Good carrying 123lbs at $5. Gets a weight swing and sets up nicely. 2nd Pick 6 Sea What I See Jockey: Craig Williams Trainer: Danny O'brien J: Craig Williams T: Danny O'brien	171	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis At the latest run 2nd of 11 at Moonee Valley in the G3 Tesio Stks on October 25 over 1 ¼m, 1.3 len behind She's A Hustler carrying 128lbs at $11. The start before that 5th of 12 at Caulfield in the G3 L/Day Vase on October 11 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Oh Too Good carrying 123lbs at $5. Gets a weight swing and sets up nicely.
1	Back from a spell. Only had one start last campaign 6th of 8 at Wyong in the LR Wyong Cup on September 5 over 1 5/16m, 3.5 len behind Saltcoats carrying 134lbs at $6.50. Won previous preparation first up won by 0.6 len at Randwick LR Rand City March 8 over 1 ¼m defeating Warmonger carrying 117lbs at $2.80. Trialled on October 17 at Warwick Farm over 6f and finished seventh. Has the class, betting the best guide. 3rd Pick 1 Alalcance Jockey: Tim Clark Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Tim Clark T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	169	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Back from a spell. Only had one start last campaign 6th of 8 at Wyong in the LR Wyong Cup on September 5 over 1 5/16m, 3.5 len behind Saltcoats carrying 134lbs at $6.50. Won previous preparation first up won by 0.6 len at Randwick LR Rand City March 8 over 1 ¼m defeating Warmonger carrying 117lbs at $2.80. Trialled on October 17 at Warwick Farm over 6f and finished seventh. Has the class, betting the best guide.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.