AU - Flemington MCC - Race 3

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

130.0K

VIEW

Verdict

Quite keen on NADAL (2) here. He was something licked in this race last year when held up badly, showing his ability with a huge win in a $1million race at Cranbourne next time out. He was returning from an injury in the G2 Caulfield Sprint and ran quite well, getting back and looming up as some hope before fitness gave out late. Love the wide draw and 6f on a track with some give in it. If he's anywhere near his best, he'll go awfully close. FRONT PAGE (1) tried hard as usual in The Kosciuszko first up with 132lbs. He's getting on in age and typically goes better fresh but he was excellent for second in this race last year. KING OF ROSEAU (3) resumes having won the G3 Aurie's Star before a spell over this route. He's up to this. BIG SWINGER (15) is lightly raced and has been heavily backed in some handy races, wary of his ceiling. VESTAS (14) has been excellent from the back in two runs this preparation. This looks the right race for her to peak.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Second run back. First-up after 10 months got back early 5th of 8 at Caulfield in the G2 Caul Sprint on October 18 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Rey Magnerio carrying 127lbs at $5. Previously second-up won by 1.75 len at Caulfield Bm78 October 16 2024 over 5 ½f defeating Kin with 132lbs at $3.30. Fitter and his best is very good. 1st Pick 2 Nadal Jockey: Ethan Brown Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Ethan Brown T: Ciaron Maher	143	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after 10 months got back early 5th of 8 at Caulfield in the G2 Caul Sprint on October 18 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Rey Magnerio carrying 127lbs at $5. Previously second-up won by 1.75 len at Caulfield Bm78 October 16 2024 over 5 ½f defeating Kin with 132lbs at $3.30. Fitter and his best is very good.
1	Second-up. First-up after four months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 14 at Randwick Kosciuszko on October 18 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Clear Thinking with 132lbs at $4.40. Previously second-up 11th of 13 at Ascot Quokka on April 26 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Jokers Grin with 129lbs at $5.50. Ran well in this last year, can win. 2nd Pick 1 Front Page Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: Matthew Dale J: James Mcdonald T: Matthew Dale	190	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 14 at Randwick Kosciuszko on October 18 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Clear Thinking with 132lbs at $4.40. Previously second-up 11th of 13 at Ascot Quokka on April 26 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Jokers Grin with 129lbs at $5.50. Ran well in this last year, can win.
3	Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation by 1.5 len this track G3 Aurie's Star August 2 over 6f defeating Bandi's Boy with 119lbs at $3.40. When resuming last campaign fourth of 8 at Warwick Farm Bm78 April 16 over 5 ½f, 0.9 len behind One Destiny with 131lbs at $3.50. Can run a big race fresh. 3rd Pick 3 King Of Roseau Jockey: Michael Dee Trainer: Peter Snowden J: Michael Dee T: Peter Snowden	111	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation by 1.5 len this track G3 Aurie's Star August 2 over 6f defeating Bandi's Boy with 119lbs at $3.40. When resuming last campaign fourth of 8 at Warwick Farm Bm78 April 16 over 5 ½f, 0.9 len behind One Destiny with 131lbs at $3.50. Can run a big race fresh.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.