AU - Warwick Farm - Race 6

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

11.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

41.7K

VIEW

Verdict

UK import ASSAILANT (3) didn't quite hit his straps in the first Aussie prep but resumed last start in an encouraging manner, digging deep under pressure to be beaten just a long neck over 1 ³/16m at Canterbury. Should relish this trip and a first win under Waterhouse/Bott looks imminent. LUNAR LOVER (7) relished the step up in distance last time out when he won with authority over today's journey at Kembla. Placed at Sandown under 60.5kgs last prep in his only other 1 ½m run. True stayer who will be there at the finish again. FORBIDDEN RIFF (1) won three on the trot at the provincials before a game second over this distance at Rosehill most recently. Can win again coming back to midweek grade this afternoon. OAKFIELD HAWK (4) will be ready to find form after three runs back and getting out to his preferred trip. SUBARCTIC (6) gets some weight relief and is in the right race to turn some recent plain form around.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Second-up. First-up after seven months raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Canterbury 5yo+ Bm72 on January 23 over 1 ³/16m, on a slow track, long-neck behind Allegro Miss with 131lbs at $2.70. Previously second-up 3rd of 11 at Rosehill Bm78 on June 14 over 1 ¼m, slow going 1.3 len behind Freight Train carrying 125lbs at $4.60. Best form is good enough so he is clearly the testing material. 1st Pick 3 Assailant Jockey: Adam Hyeronimus Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Adam Hyeronimus T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	181	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Second-up. First-up after seven months raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Canterbury 5yo+ Bm72 on January 23 over 1 ³/16m, on a slow track, long-neck behind Allegro Miss with 131lbs at $2.70. Previously second-up 3rd of 11 at Rosehill Bm78 on June 14 over 1 ¼m, slow going 1.3 len behind Freight Train carrying 125lbs at $4.60. Best form is good enough so he is clearly the testing material.
7	Most recently favourite, won by 2.5 len at Kembla Grange Bm64 January 22 over 1 ½m on a rain affected track defeating Sweet Bubbles carrying 130lbs at $2.25. The run before that 9th of 11 at Canterbury Bm64 on January 1 over 1 ³/16m, 4 len behind Scarli Japali carrying 131lbs at $2.60. Promising stayer who has earned another crack in town. 2nd Pick 7 Lunar Lover Jockey: Jason Collett Trainer: Matthew Smith J: Jason Collett T: Matthew Smith	117	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Most recently favourite, won by 2.5 len at Kembla Grange Bm64 January 22 over 1 ½m on a rain affected track defeating Sweet Bubbles carrying 130lbs at $2.25. The run before that 9th of 11 at Canterbury Bm64 on January 1 over 1 ³/16m, 4 len behind Scarli Japali carrying 131lbs at $2.60. Promising stayer who has earned another crack in town.
1	Racing well recently. Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 13 at Rosehill Bm78 on January 17 over 1 ½m, in the wet, 1.5 len behind Bella Montagna carrying 127lbs at $19. The race before that won by 0.9 len at Gosford Cond Bm68 December 31 over 1 5/16m defeating Mediaro with 133lbs at $3.50. Genuine stayer who should be in the finish again. 3rd Pick 1 Forbidden Riff Jockey: Chad Schofield Trainer: Richard & Will Freedman J: Chad Schofield T: Richard & Will Freedman	131	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 13 at Rosehill Bm78 on January 17 over 1 ½m, in the wet, 1.5 len behind Bella Montagna carrying 127lbs at $19. The race before that won by 0.9 len at Gosford Cond Bm68 December 31 over 1 5/16m defeating Mediaro with 133lbs at $3.50. Genuine stayer who should be in the finish again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.