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4:30 AM

AU - Warwick Farm - Race 3

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 6
41.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Six runners, six live chances. LITTLE IRIS (6) contested the lead from the outset but managed to find something more in the closing stages and win on debut over 6 ¼f at Canterbury last start. Bred to enjoy this longer trip so she is a great chance to go back-to-back. ASILAH (8) was smashed from $3.10 to $2.30 on debut and gave backers no concerns at the Beaumont track three weeks ago, cruising to a 2.4-length win over the 6 ¾f course. Gets a firmer track today in better company but she looks pretty smart and is in good hands. CRIMSON WINGS (5) drove hard late to just prevail over 6 ?f at Muswellbrook recently, the second win from three appearances this prep. Looks good enough to make this progression. PRINCE CHARGE (3) returned in fine order at the Kenso last start and can win again without surprising. DECORUM (4) is above average and can play a key role coming off a 20-week spell.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Little Iris silk

Was well-supported at debut, won won by 0.6 len at Canterbury 2&3yo F Mdn January 16 over 6 ¼f on a rain affected track defeating Ready Forcocktails with 130lbs at $2.70. Going places and can take this next step.

1st Pick
6

Little Iris

Jockey: Tim Clark

Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

J: Tim Clark

T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

187---37%7/4

Analysis

Was well-supported at debut, won won by 0.6 len at Canterbury 2&3yo F Mdn January 16 over 6 ¼f on a rain affected track defeating Ready Forcocktails with 130lbs at $2.70. Going places and can take this next step.

8
Asilah silk

Was well-supported at debut, won won by 2.5 len at Beaumont (Newcastle) Super Mdn January 15 over 6 ¾f on a rain affected track defeating Impuriteze with 125lbs at $2.30. Needs to do it on town on a firmer deck but can't do more than win.

2nd Pick
8

Asilah

Jockey: Chad Schofield

Trainer: Chris Waller

J: Chad Schofield

T: Chris Waller

147---43%11/8

Analysis

Was well-supported at debut, won won by 2.5 len at Beaumont (Newcastle) Super Mdn January 15 over 6 ¾f on a rain affected track defeating Impuriteze with 125lbs at $2.30. Needs to do it on town on a firmer deck but can't do more than win.

5
Crimson Wings silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run favourite, ran on from midfield and won by a nose at Muswellbrook Cl3 Bm66 January 13 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Tulipwood carrying 125lbs at $2.50. The run before that came from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Gosford F&M Bm64 on December 31 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Siebert with 127lbs at $3. Finds a nice race and can add to the strong recent record.

3rd Pick
5

Crimson Wings

Jockey: Lee Magorrian

Trainer: Richard & Will Freedman

J: Lee Magorrian

T: Richard & Will Freedman

151---5%20/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run favourite, ran on from midfield and won by a nose at Muswellbrook Cl3 Bm66 January 13 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Tulipwood carrying 125lbs at $2.50. The run before that came from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Gosford F&M Bm64 on December 31 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Siebert with 127lbs at $3. Finds a nice race and can add to the strong recent record.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.