AU - Warwick Farm - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

41.7K

VIEW

Verdict

Plenty of in-form maidens come together in a competitive race to kick things off. DOUBLE VISION (4) raced handy and finished a close third on debut over 5 ¾f at the Kensington track. The runner-up subsequently came out and won by three. Happy with that form line which gives her the verdict narrowly ahead of BELLO CAVALLO (3) who was an eye-catcher in the Magic Millions Maiden last time out. Four winners have come from that race so it too is an excellent form reference. Nicely drawn and will be tough to hold out. FEMININO (7) firmed from $4.80 to $3.90 on debut recently but found a couple better over 6 ¼f at the Kenso. Bred to stay so this slightly longer trip is a big help. SUPERATA (6) recorded his fifth minor placing from eight starts when a closing second over this distance at the Kensington track three weeks ago. Has less upside than some of these but is racing too well to rule out. VELARIS (2) and KOKATAHI (1) are also live chances.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Was well-supported at debut, sat on the pace when 3rd of 9 at Randwick Kensington Super Mdn-Sw on January 14 over 5 ¾f, slow going 0.7 len behind Gorgeous with 126lbs at $4. Strong chance with plenty of natural improvement in store. 1st Pick 4 Double Vision Jockey: Adam Hyeronimus Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Adam Hyeronimus T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	185	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, sat on the pace when 3rd of 9 at Randwick Kensington Super Mdn-Sw on January 14 over 5 ¾f, slow going 0.7 len behind Gorgeous with 126lbs at $4. Strong chance with plenty of natural improvement in store.
3	Third-up today. First-up came from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Randwick Kensington 3yo C&G Mdn on December 5 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Lancelot Du Lac with 128lbs at $16. Second-up 6th of 17 at Gold Coast Mm Mdn on January 10 over 7f, 4 len behind Spanish Treasure carrying 126lbs at $41. Hard to beat back in this company. 2nd Pick 3 Bello Cavallo Jockey: Tom Sherry Trainer: Gerald Ryan & Sterling Alexiou J: Tom Sherry T: Gerald Ryan & Sterling Alexiou	126	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Third-up today. First-up came from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Randwick Kensington 3yo C&G Mdn on December 5 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Lancelot Du Lac with 128lbs at $16. Second-up 6th of 17 at Gold Coast Mm Mdn on January 10 over 7f, 4 len behind Spanish Treasure carrying 126lbs at $41. Hard to beat back in this company.
7	Was well-supported at debut, sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at Randwick Kensington Super 2&3yo Mdn on January 21 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Prince Charge with 122lbs at $3.90. Shapes as a leading chance. 3rd Pick 7 Feminino Jockey: Tim Clark Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Tim Clark T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	158	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at Randwick Kensington Super 2&3yo Mdn on January 21 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Prince Charge with 122lbs at $3.90. Shapes as a leading chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.