AU - Townsville - Race 7

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 6

14.0K

VIEW

Verdict

The four leading chances come out of the same race at the track. SWEET KISSES (4) resumed winning here this grade over 6f and then led them up and tired in the latter stages over 6f. She's one 4/6 here at 7f and has a low gate and handy 4lbs claim. She can bounce with the extra fitness. TYCOON BEAU (5) settled too far back in the same contest following a good win at Cairns over this distance. 2x winning rider Wiggins is reunited and he maps for the run of the race. Has winning claims. TAMBO'S JUSTICE (6) will be fitter and flies here second-up and over the trip. Races forward and also deserves plenty of consideration. NORTHERN PRIDE (1) was plainer in the same contest but his win this grade/trip at Mackay prior stacks up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up won by 0.8 len at this track Hcp December 13 over 5f on a soft track defeating Family Star carrying 117lbs at $3.70. Second run from a spell held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at this track Hcp on December 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Cherry Rose carrying 123lbs at $10. Strong chance in a suitable contest. 1st Pick 4 Sweet Kisses Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl Trainer: Georgina Holt J: Fiona Sandkuhl T: Georgina Holt	140	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up won by 0.8 len at this track Hcp December 13 over 5f on a soft track defeating Family Star carrying 117lbs at $3.70. Second run from a spell held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at this track Hcp on December 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Cherry Rose carrying 123lbs at $10. Strong chance in a suitable contest.
5	At the latest run got back early 6th of 10 at this track Hcp on December 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Cherry Rose with 123lbs at $17. Before that won by a head at Cairns Hcp December 20 over 7f on a soft track defeating Seventies Hit with 127lbs at $4.20. An inside alley is a big advantage. Can atone. 2nd Pick 5 Tycoon Beau Jockey: Ryan Wiggins Trainer: Stephen Massingham J: Ryan Wiggins T: Stephen Massingham	137	-	-	-	10%
Analysis At the latest run got back early 6th of 10 at this track Hcp on December 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Cherry Rose with 123lbs at $17. Before that won by a head at Cairns Hcp December 20 over 7f on a soft track defeating Seventies Hit with 127lbs at $4.20. An inside alley is a big advantage. Can atone.
6	Second run back. First-up after five months came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at this track Hcp on December 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Cherry Rose with 121lbs at $3.60. Previously second-up won by a neck at this track Bm65 June 7 over 7f on a soft track defeating Brave Agenda carrying 136lbs at $1.60. Shaping up nicely and is a definite top-three hope. 3rd Pick 6 Tambo's Justice Jockey: Jackson Murphy Trainer: Georgina Holt J: Jackson Murphy T: Georgina Holt	108	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at this track Hcp on December 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Cherry Rose with 121lbs at $3.60. Previously second-up won by a neck at this track Bm65 June 7 over 7f on a soft track defeating Brave Agenda carrying 136lbs at $1.60. Shaping up nicely and is a definite top-three hope.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.