AU - Townsville - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

15.4K

VIEW

Verdict

MINNIE VEGAS (11) steps up to 6f for the first time and just missed over 4 ¾f at Cairns a month ago. Some trust required but she peaks and rates well. MARCH MADNESS (3) has had plenty of tries but looks right in contention building on his two placed efforts at the track. Dropping back 1f shouldn't prove an issue and he will be hitting the line hard. STORM CAPITAL (5) settled a long way back and worked home well enough here over 5f. Had switched from a NSW barn and will be better for it. Has a wide gate but the longer sprint should advantage. HERE'S MASON (1) has a key jockey switch to Wiggins and would be a hope putting his best foot forward.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
11	Form hard to fault. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at Cairns Mdn-Sw on December 20 over 4 ¾f, on a slow track, neck behind Adaj carrying 121lbs at $20. The start before that came from midfield, 2nd of 7 at Innisfail 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 6 over 4 ½f, 1.0 len behind Rising Ruby carrying 123lbs at $12. Gets his chance over the longer sprint. 1st Pick 11 Minnie Vegas Jockey: Lacey Morrison Trainer: Trevor & Peter Rowe J: Lacey Morrison T: Trevor & Peter Rowe	168	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at Cairns Mdn-Sw on December 20 over 4 ¾f, on a slow track, neck behind Adaj carrying 121lbs at $20. The start before that came from midfield, 2nd of 7 at Innisfail 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 6 over 4 ½f, 1.0 len behind Rising Ruby carrying 123lbs at $12. Gets his chance over the longer sprint.
3	Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 8 at this track Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 7f, slow going 1.5 len behind Yorokobi with 129lbs at $4.20. The race before that 3rd of 11 at this track Mdn on December 13 over 6f, 2 len behind Better Breakout with 119lbs at $5.50. A key runner. 2nd Pick 3 March Madness Jockey: Wanderson D'avila Trainer: Michael Geaney J: Wanderson D'avila T: Michael Geaney	130	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 8 at this track Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 7f, slow going 1.5 len behind Yorokobi with 129lbs at $4.20. The race before that 3rd of 11 at this track Mdn on December 13 over 6f, 2 len behind Better Breakout with 119lbs at $5.50. A key runner.
5	Last start made significant ground from the rear of the field 3rd of 15 at this track Mdn on January 6 over 5f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Mind Over Matter with 123lbs at $6.50. The race before that 5th of 8 at Scone Ctry Mdn-Sw on December 2 over 5f, 7 len behind Maxandus carrying 130lbs at $7. Working up to a win. Ready to peak and is among the best chances. 3rd Pick 5 Storm Capital Jockey: Aidan Holt Trainer: Georgina Holt J: Aidan Holt T: Georgina Holt	197	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Last start made significant ground from the rear of the field 3rd of 15 at this track Mdn on January 6 over 5f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Mind Over Matter with 123lbs at $6.50. The race before that 5th of 8 at Scone Ctry Mdn-Sw on December 2 over 5f, 7 len behind Maxandus carrying 130lbs at $7. Working up to a win. Ready to peak and is among the best chances.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.