AU - Taree - Race 8

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

OPEN

Turf

HEAVY 8

22.8K

VIEW

Verdict

SUPREME COMMAND (7) has been threatening before delivering a 4.7L win at Port Macquarie from the front. He will carry just 117lbs this grade with the claim and is on a quick backup. Races forward and will take beating. OSTRACISED (4) was outgraded in the Coffs Harbour Cup, but went back-to-back prior, and those efforts stack right up. He can get back on track. LEASE (8) is third-up and brings a CL3 win from Coffs Harbour, when he rode the speed. Carries 8lbs less today and that brings him into it. STARZAM (5) rates well enough and assess him on his easy win this grade at Coffs Harbour three back. Needs a good ride, but no surprise to see him feature at a price.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Racing well recently. At the latest run won by 4.5 len at Port Macquarie Ctry Cl3 August 8 over 7 ½f in the wet defeating Show 'Em Howl carrying 127lbs at $4. The race before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at this track Cl3 on July 22 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Bodhi Boy with 132lbs at $12. Backs up quickly and is expected to run well again. 1st Pick 7 Supreme Command Jockey: Emily Farr Trainer: Glen Milligan J: Emily Farr T: Glen Milligan	132	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run won by 4.5 len at Port Macquarie Ctry Cl3 August 8 over 7 ½f in the wet defeating Show 'Em Howl carrying 127lbs at $4. The race before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at this track Cl3 on July 22 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Bodhi Boy with 132lbs at $12. Backs up quickly and is expected to run well again.
4	At the latest run 7th of 12 at Coffs Harbour Coffs Cup Bm96 on August 1 over 1m, slow going 15 len behind Time Quest with 119lbs at $71. The run before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.0 len at Grafton Macleancup Bm87 July 20 over 7f in soft going defeating Xtra Approval with 121lbs at $13. Has good ability and can bounce back. 2nd Pick 4 Ostracised Jockey: Courtney Bellamy Trainer: Donna Grisedale J: Courtney Bellamy T: Donna Grisedale	97	-	-	-	8%	13/1
Analysis At the latest run 7th of 12 at Coffs Harbour Coffs Cup Bm96 on August 1 over 1m, slow going 15 len behind Time Quest with 119lbs at $71. The run before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.0 len at Grafton Macleancup Bm87 July 20 over 7f in soft going defeating Xtra Approval with 121lbs at $13. Has good ability and can bounce back.
5	At the latest run faded in the straight 7th of 12 at Grafton Macleancup Bm87 on July 20 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Ostracised carrying 122lbs at $5. The start before that second last of 10 at Grafton Sthgrafcup Mb96 on July 13 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Boys Night Out with 119lbs at $101. Well-placed and a chance. 3rd Pick 5 Starzam Jockey: Ben Looker Trainer: Fleur Henley J: Ben Looker T: Fleur Henley	101	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis At the latest run faded in the straight 7th of 12 at Grafton Macleancup Bm87 on July 20 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Ostracised carrying 122lbs at $5. The start before that second last of 10 at Grafton Sthgrafcup Mb96 on July 13 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Boys Night Out with 119lbs at $101. Well-placed and a chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.