AU - Tamworth - Race 5

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

17.7K

VIEW

Verdict

MEGA FIGHT (6) made a midrace move to find the lead then tired to finish midfield last start over 7 ½f at Port Macquarie. That run followed a forty-five-day break so he will tighten right up for this. Best form comes at the mile - this looks a nice race. VISUALISE (13) continued the solid form this prep when he led but just failed to hold on over 7f at this track last time out. Placed two back at his only run over this trip. Sure to give them something to catch. Consistent filly HIBIKI HARMONY (14) was there on the bend but was overwhelmed late and just missed the placings at her latest run over 6 ½f at Scone. Up in class but gets some welcomed weight relief. Will give backers a sight. ARRABBIATA (11) backs up seven days after a respectable effort over 7f here. Hasn't won for ages but is very fit and should be thereabouts. Consistent four-year-old THE GREAT ARMADA (4) is a three-time winner at this distance so don't rule him out.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Most recently 6th of 11 at Port Macquarie Cl2 on June 15 over 7 ½f, slow going 3.5 len behind Supreme Command with 129lbs at $11. Before that 5th of 11 at Wagga 4yo+ Bm66 on May 1 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Dark Vador carrying 130lbs at $5.50. Finds a suitable race and is expected to be in the finish. 1st Pick 6 Mega Fight Jockey: Grant Buckley Trainer: John Cooper J: Grant Buckley T: John Cooper	111	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Most recently 6th of 11 at Port Macquarie Cl2 on June 15 over 7 ½f, slow going 3.5 len behind Supreme Command with 129lbs at $11. Before that 5th of 11 at Wagga 4yo+ Bm66 on May 1 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Dark Vador carrying 130lbs at $5.50. Finds a suitable race and is expected to be in the finish.
13	Racing well recently. Most recently gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 14 at this track Cl3 on June 27 over 7f, on a slow track, nose behind To Be Frank carrying 121lbs at $7.50. Before that 3rd of 11 at Scone Cl1-Sw on June 10 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Oakfield Mercury carrying 123lbs at $20. Always races well and will take plenty of beating. 2nd Pick 13 Visualise Jockey: Jake Pracey-Holmes Trainer: Jacob Perrett J: Jake Pracey-Holmes T: Jacob Perrett	178	-	-	-	56%	4/5
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 14 at this track Cl3 on June 27 over 7f, on a slow track, nose behind To Be Frank carrying 121lbs at $7.50. Before that 3rd of 11 at Scone Cl1-Sw on June 10 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Oakfield Mercury carrying 123lbs at $20. Always races well and will take plenty of beating.
14	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 2nd of 13 at Dubbo F&M Bm58 on June 6 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Missy Moss with 136lbs at $9.50. Last start 4th of 12 at Scone Bm58 on June 23 over 6 ½f, slow going 2.75 len behind Smoke On The Water carrying 131lbs at $6.50. Not far from winner at her last appearance and rates highly. 3rd Pick 14 Hibiki Harmony Jockey: Mitchell Bell Trainer: Brett Cavanough J: Mitchell Bell T: Brett Cavanough	132	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 2nd of 13 at Dubbo F&M Bm58 on June 6 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Missy Moss with 136lbs at $9.50. Last start 4th of 12 at Scone Bm58 on June 23 over 6 ½f, slow going 2.75 len behind Smoke On The Water carrying 131lbs at $6.50. Not far from winner at her last appearance and rates highly.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.