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34 Min Till Start

AU - Sunshine Coast - Race 3

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
6f
Class 1
Turf
SOFT 7
18.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

WINCHMAN (9) got the well-deserved maiden win out of the way at the latest effort and will have derived a stack of confidence from that breakthrough victory. Has placed six of seven over this six-furlong trip and maps perfectly for Mallyon from gate two. Should prove very hard to toss. ITALIAN DANCER (4) boasts a win here on his home circuit and will strip fitter second-up from the break. Expecting an improved performance. FUNKY ME (12) resumes from a lengthy spell but has tuned up for this with a recent trial and is drawn to get all the favours from the inside alley. Keep very safe. ENCUBIERTO (1) rounds out the selections.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Winchman silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 2nd in a small field at Doomben Cg&E Mdn on July 16 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Barberry Spur carrying 132lbs at $6. Second-up favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.5 len at Doomben Mdn July 30 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Smart Shazza carrying 126lbs at $2. Profiles nicely. Likely to feature.

1st Pick
9

Winchman

Jockey: Andrew Mallyon

Trainer: Paul Shailer

J: Andrew Mallyon

T: Paul Shailer

185---37%7/4

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 2nd in a small field at Doomben Cg&E Mdn on July 16 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Barberry Spur carrying 132lbs at $6. Second-up favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.5 len at Doomben Mdn July 30 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Smart Shazza carrying 126lbs at $2. Profiles nicely. Likely to feature.

4
Italian Dancer silk

Second-up today. Last outing 8th of 10 at this track Bm55 on July 20 over 5f, slow going 3 len behind Count Nicholas with 131lbs at $3.40. At only start last preparation 6th of 11 at Sunshine Coast Poly Bm60 on May 11 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Encouraged with 130lbs at $3.50. Expect a far better result this time.

2nd Pick
4

Italian Dancer

Jockey: Kyle Wilson-Taylor

Trainer: Stuart Kendrick

J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor

T: Stuart Kendrick

152---10%10/1

Analysis

Second-up today. Last outing 8th of 10 at this track Bm55 on July 20 over 5f, slow going 3 len behind Count Nicholas with 131lbs at $3.40. At only start last preparation 6th of 11 at Sunshine Coast Poly Bm60 on May 11 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Encouraged with 130lbs at $3.50. Expect a far better result this time.

3
In No Doubt silk

Most recently led but faded 3rd of 10 at Gold Coast Cl1 on August 2 over 6f, slow going 2.75 len behind Capital Diva carrying 127lbs at $14. The start before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 11 at Ipswich Cg&E 0 - 58 on July 17 over 6f, slow going 2 len behind Machine Head with 129lbs at $6.50. An inside alley is a big advantage. Sure to go close.

3rd Pick
3

In No Doubt

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Chris Anderson

J: Non Runner

T: Chris Anderson

158---10%

Scratched

Analysis

Most recently led but faded 3rd of 10 at Gold Coast Cl1 on August 2 over 6f, slow going 2.75 len behind Capital Diva carrying 127lbs at $14. The start before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 11 at Ipswich Cg&E 0 - 58 on July 17 over 6f, slow going 2 len behind Machine Head with 129lbs at $6.50. An inside alley is a big advantage. Sure to go close.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.