AU - Sapphire Coast - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

17.7K

VIEW

Verdict

CASINO SHAW (11) ticks plenty of boxes today and looks the one to beat at start seven. Sat on the good tempo from the wide gate when a gritty second over 6f at this track. Kept fresh and she gets a much better set-up today. YOU COUNT (10) struck trouble at the start and got further back than expected when a poor eighth over 5 ½f at Nowra. Only has to jump cleanly to figure prominently. SETTA ICON (1) resumes from a lengthy break. Outclassed when eighth over 5f at Kembla Grange on June 20, 2024. Fitted with the two slick trials and can overcome the sticky draw. EMPRESS IRENE (13) started hard in the market at her second career start when a plugging fifth over 5 ½f at Nowra. Can race a little closer from the inside gate and play a leading role.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Comes here off a 32-day let-up. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at this track Mdn-Sw on October 30 over 6f, 2 len behind Zoucat carrying 126lbs at $6. The race before that 6th of 9 at Nowra Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 19 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Cosmic Attraction with 126lbs at $31. Made headway last time. Finds her race at strat seven to get off the mark. 1st Pick 11 Casino Shaw Jockey: Amy Mclucas Trainer: Shaun Coady J: Amy Mclucas T: Shaun Coady	123	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Comes here off a 32-day let-up. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at this track Mdn-Sw on October 30 over 6f, 2 len behind Zoucat carrying 126lbs at $6. The race before that 6th of 9 at Nowra Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 19 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Cosmic Attraction with 126lbs at $31. Made headway last time. Finds her race at strat seven to get off the mark.
10	Last start ran last of 8 at Nowra Mdn-Sw on November 17 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Battle Warrior carrying 126lbs at $6.50. Before that 3rd in a small field at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 30 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Sunrise Ridge with 128lbs at $2. Slow into stride last start and can bounce back. 2nd Pick 10 You Count Jockey: Jack Martin Trainer: Jamie Stewart J: Jack Martin T: Jamie Stewart	106	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Last start ran last of 8 at Nowra Mdn-Sw on November 17 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Battle Warrior carrying 126lbs at $6.50. Before that 3rd in a small field at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 30 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Sunrise Ridge with 128lbs at $2. Slow into stride last start and can bounce back.
1	Resuming off 17 months break after having had one race start. At debut last start 8th of 11 at Kembla Grange 2yo Mdn-Sw on June 20 2024 over 5f, slow going 4.5 len behind Island Dec with 126lbs at $26. Had six recent trials to get ready for this. Last trial Was second in a 4 ½f barrier trial on November 18 at Rosehill. Expected to feature. 3rd Pick 1 Setta Icon Jockey: Ms Robyn Freeman Trainer: Anthony Mountney J: Ms Robyn Freeman T: Anthony Mountney	62	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Resuming off 17 months break after having had one race start. At debut last start 8th of 11 at Kembla Grange 2yo Mdn-Sw on June 20 2024 over 5f, slow going 4.5 len behind Island Dec with 126lbs at $26. Had six recent trials to get ready for this. Last trial Was second in a 4 ½f barrier trial on November 18 at Rosehill. Expected to feature.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.