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4:15 AM

AU - Sapphire Coast - Race 3

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
17.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LADY YARROW (10) nine-start Maiden expected to get off the mark in this average contest. Stalked the speed from the low draw when going under narrowly for a solid second over 7 ½f at Kembla Grange in a Super Maiden. Has a fitness edge over the bulk of these and should be able to get cover from the sticky draw. ROSE DIAMOND (12) returned without a trial when a game on-pace second over 6f at Nowra. Placed at this trip and shapes as one of the better hopes. ALAMAGAN (6) went back from the awkward gate on resumption when a plugging ninth over 6 ½f at Kembla Grange. Maps well and can run into the minor money. ARGANTORATI (8) chipped away late from the wide gate when respectable sixth over 5 ?f at Gundagai in a Super Maiden. Looking for this trip now and can race closer from the inside barrier.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Lady Yarrow silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run sat on the pace when 2nd of 7 at Kembla Grange Super Mdn on November 15 over 7 ½f, nose behind Soverato carrying 123lbs at $7. The race before that 3rd in a small field at Hawkesbury Prov Mdn-Sw on October 28 over 7 ½f, 5.5 len behind Blue Eyed Brigid with 126lbs at $4.60. Ready to win in a very weak Maiden.

1st Pick
10

Lady Yarrow

Jockey: Jess Taylor

Trainer: Theresa Bateup

J: Jess Taylor

T: Theresa Bateup

168---43%11/8

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run sat on the pace when 2nd of 7 at Kembla Grange Super Mdn on November 15 over 7 ½f, nose behind Soverato carrying 123lbs at $7. The race before that 3rd in a small field at Hawkesbury Prov Mdn-Sw on October 28 over 7 ½f, 5.5 len behind Blue Eyed Brigid with 126lbs at $4.60. Ready to win in a very weak Maiden.

12
Rose Diamond silk

Second run back. First-up after seven months set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 7 at Nowra Ctry Mdn on November 17 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Maritime Express carrying 129lbs at $6. Previously second-up 7th of 12 at Caulfield Heath Mdn-Sw on December 4 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Chosen Legend carrying 123lbs at $10. Sound return, and ready for this trip.

2nd Pick
12

Rose Diamond

Jockey: Coriah Keatings

Trainer: Matthew Kelley

J: Coriah Keatings

T: Matthew Kelley

145---25%3/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after seven months set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 7 at Nowra Ctry Mdn on November 17 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Maritime Express carrying 129lbs at $6. Previously second-up 7th of 12 at Caulfield Heath Mdn-Sw on December 4 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Chosen Legend carrying 123lbs at $10. Sound return, and ready for this trip.

6
Alamagan silk

Second-up. First start second last of 8 at Kembla Grange Cge Mdn-Sw on July 26 over 6 ½f, 4 len behind Tong Ho carrying 125lbs at $61. Went for a spell before returning 9th of 12 at Kembla Grange Cg&E Mdn on November 15 over 6 ½f, 5 len behind Aristocrat with 126lbs at $41. Fitter now and capable of improving from the good draw.

3rd Pick
6

Alamagan

Jockey: Unknown Jockey

Trainer: Joseph Ible

J: Unknown Jockey

T: Joseph Ible

102---10%10/1

Analysis

Second-up. First start second last of 8 at Kembla Grange Cge Mdn-Sw on July 26 over 6 ½f, 4 len behind Tong Ho carrying 125lbs at $61. Went for a spell before returning 9th of 12 at Kembla Grange Cg&E Mdn on November 15 over 6 ½f, 5 len behind Aristocrat with 126lbs at $41. Fitter now and capable of improving from the good draw.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

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The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

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Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.