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4:30 AM

AU - Rosehill - Race 6

Thoroughbred
23 Runners
9.9f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 5
104.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TAVROS (3) stretches out to the 1 ¼m for the first time and this looks a target race. Snagged back early and like the way he attacked the line when fifth to Osipenko over 1m in the Little Dance at Randwick. Key jockey change and the awkward draw is no real concern. Leading player. BLACKLIST (7) ticking over nicely for this and can figure prominently with the 122lbs. Struck trouble in the run when fifth over 1 ³/16m at Canterbury at BM72 grade. Maps well and can take a hand in the finish. DEEL ME A QUEEN (20) Dundeel mare who drops sharply in weight on the limit. Arrives here deep into the prep after surging late with the 132lbs when third over 1 ?m at Scone. Gets cover early and represents great value. POISEN POINT (8) holding her form at Highway level and winning rider hops back aboard. Keep safe. BEHTAR (17) capable on his day and assess on his narrow fourth over 1 ?m here two-back. Down in the weights and goes into the exotics.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Tavros silk

Most recently 5th of 15 at Randwick Little Dance on November 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Osipenko with 115lbs at $5.50. Before that 3rd of 10 at Coonamble Cmble Cup Mbm80 on October 12 over 1m, 0.6 len behind Justadeel with 127lbs at $6.50. Talented type looking for the 1 ¼m, hard to stop.

1st Pick
3

Tavros

Jockey: Ashley Morgan

Trainer: Craig Martin

J: Ashley Morgan

T: Craig Martin

192---27%11/4

Analysis

Most recently 5th of 15 at Randwick Little Dance on November 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Osipenko with 115lbs at $5.50. Before that 3rd of 10 at Coonamble Cmble Cup Mbm80 on October 12 over 1m, 0.6 len behind Justadeel with 127lbs at $6.50. Talented type looking for the 1 ¼m, hard to stop.

7
Blacklist silk

Last start 5th of 7 at Canterbury 5yo+ Bm72 on November 14 over 1 ³/16m, 4.5 len behind Chateaux Park carrying 126lbs at $2.25. Before that 4th of 9 at Eagle Farm Cl3 on November 1 over 1m, 0.7 len behind Mazis carrying 128lbs at $26. Tough to beat with the drop in weight.

2nd Pick
7

Blacklist

Jockey: Tim Clark

Trainer: Mack Griffith

J: Tim Clark

T: Mack Griffith

165---10%9/1

Analysis

Last start 5th of 7 at Canterbury 5yo+ Bm72 on November 14 over 1 ³/16m, 4.5 len behind Chateaux Park carrying 126lbs at $2.25. Before that 4th of 9 at Eagle Farm Cl3 on November 1 over 1m, 0.7 len behind Mazis carrying 128lbs at $26. Tough to beat with the drop in weight.

20
Deel Me A Queen silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run 3rd of 9 at Scone Bm58 on November 18 over 1m, 0.6 len behind Dipierdomenico with 132lbs at $1.90. Before that favourite, won by 1.1 len at Muswellbrook Bm58 November 4 over 1 ¹/16m defeating Special Prophet with 128lbs at $1.65. Strong mare who comes to town in peak condition, respect.

3rd Pick
20

Deel Me A Queen

Jockey: Anna Roper

Trainer: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich

J: Anna Roper

T: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich

125---8%13/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run 3rd of 9 at Scone Bm58 on November 18 over 1m, 0.6 len behind Dipierdomenico with 132lbs at $1.90. Before that favourite, won by 1.1 len at Muswellbrook Bm58 November 4 over 1 ¹/16m defeating Special Prophet with 128lbs at $1.65. Strong mare who comes to town in peak condition, respect.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.