AU - Rockhampton - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

32.9K

VIEW

Verdict

Easily the hardest race on the card. AFFINITY FLYER (2) won well at Doomben last time out in a BM 70 and that type of form reads superbly well for a race like this. Can be winning this. DREAM SMART (6) drops back in grade today and has the ratings to give this an almighty shake. EL OF A SENORITA (14) is usually around the mark and that should be the case again today. GLASS OF ROSE (9) won two back at Ipswich and that kind of form should stand up here. CELESTIAL HARBOUR (1), HEARSAY (5) and STREET GLORY (8) could all prevail without providing, and are not to be dismissed, likewise TIGON PRINCESS (11)

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Recent form sound. Last start won by 1.75 len at Doomben Bm70 June 18 over 6 ¾f defeating Lumens Lenny with 125lbs at $13. The start before that made ground from midfield, 3rd of 16 at Doomben Bm68 on May 28 over 6 ¾f, long-neck behind Restonica carrying 126lbs at $13. Superb winner at Doomben latest, and must be considered a winning hope here. 1st Pick 2 Affinity Flyer Jockey: Sean Cormack Trainer: Stephen Kirkwood J: Sean Cormack T: Stephen Kirkwood	125	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start won by 1.75 len at Doomben Bm70 June 18 over 6 ¾f defeating Lumens Lenny with 125lbs at $13. The start before that made ground from midfield, 3rd of 16 at Doomben Bm68 on May 28 over 6 ¾f, long-neck behind Restonica carrying 126lbs at $13. Superb winner at Doomben latest, and must be considered a winning hope here.
6	At the latest run 7th of 14 at Ipswich T L Cooney on June 21 over 6 ¾f, 4 len behind Mister Bianco carrying 121lbs at $41. The run before that 13th of 18 at Eagle Farm in the LR Qld Day on June 7 over 6f, slow going 5 len behind Cosmic Fire carrying 121lbs at $151. Better placed now and looks an each-way hope. 2nd Pick 6 Dream Smart Jockey: Justin P Stanley Trainer: Liam Birchley J: Justin P Stanley T: Liam Birchley	189	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis At the latest run 7th of 14 at Ipswich T L Cooney on June 21 over 6 ¾f, 4 len behind Mister Bianco carrying 121lbs at $41. The run before that 13th of 18 at Eagle Farm in the LR Qld Day on June 7 over 6f, slow going 5 len behind Cosmic Fire carrying 121lbs at $151. Better placed now and looks an each-way hope.
7	Recent form sound. Last start favourite, won by a nose at Toowoomba Cl1 June 14 over 6f defeating Dubious Six with 131lbs at $1.55. The race before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Toowoomba Cl1 on May 17 over 6f, on a wet track, head behind Little Spark carrying 131lbs at $2.20. Still has more under the hood, keep very safe. 3rd Pick 7 Uluwatu Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Mark Currie J: Non Runner T: Mark Currie	125	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start favourite, won by a nose at Toowoomba Cl1 June 14 over 6f defeating Dubious Six with 131lbs at $1.55. The race before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Toowoomba Cl1 on May 17 over 6f, on a wet track, head behind Little Spark carrying 131lbs at $2.20. Still has more under the hood, keep very safe.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.